U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 4

1
Final Results·337,803 ballots cast
PAT FALLON
75.1%253,837
RUSSELL FOSTER
22.6%76,326
LOU ANTONELLI
1.9%6,334
TRACY JONES
0.4%1,306
Early vote vs Election Day

PAT FALLON gained 4.5 percentage points on Election Day.

PAT FALLON+4.5pp on E-day
Early 205,757 (81.1%)E-day 48,080 (18.9%)
RUSSELL FOSTER-5.6pp on E-day
Early 65,316 (85.6%)E-day 11,010 (14.4%)
LOU ANTONELLI+1.2pp on E-day
Early 4,569 (72.1%)E-day 1,765 (27.9%)
TRACY JONES-0.1pp on E-day
Early 1,142 (87.4%)E-day 164 (12.6%)
Race totals337,803 ballots
Early 276,784 (81.9%)E-day 61,019 (18.1%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: 14,524 votes · PAT FALLON 81.4% (11,825) · RUSSELL FOSTER 16.5% (2,398) · LOU ANTONELLI 2.0% (287) · TRACY JONES 0.1% (14) · 9,427 net for leaderKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: 58,609 votes · PAT FALLON 75.9% (44,475) · RUSSELL FOSTER 22.2% (13,031) · LOU ANTONELLI 1.9% (1,085) · TRACY JONES 0.0% (18) · 31,444 net for leaderCrosby: no dataDelta: 2,470 votes · PAT FALLON 83.6% (2,065) · RUSSELL FOSTER 14.8% (366) · LOU ANTONELLI 1.5% (36) · TRACY JONES 0.1% (3) · 1,699 net for leaderZavala: no dataRockwall: 53,122 votes · PAT FALLON 70.3% (37,324) · RUSSELL FOSTER 27.5% (14,606) · LOU ANTONELLI 2.2% (1,144) · TRACY JONES 0.1% (48) · 22,718 net for leaderEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: 20,914 votes · PAT FALLON 76.9% (16,079) · RUSSELL FOSTER 20.0% (4,178) · LOU ANTONELLI 1.5% (314) · TRACY JONES 1.6% (343) · 11,901 net for leaderLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: 15,380 votes · PAT FALLON 80.1% (12,323) · RUSSELL FOSTER 18.0% (2,768) · LOU ANTONELLI 1.8% (284) · TRACY JONES 0.0% (5) · 9,555 net for leaderHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: 4,875 votes · PAT FALLON 83.1% (4,049) · RUSSELL FOSTER 14.8% (723) · LOU ANTONELLI 1.4% (68) · TRACY JONES 0.7% (35) · 3,326 net for leaderEdwards: no dataWaller: no dataMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: 37,816 votes · PAT FALLON 69.9% (26,416) · RUSSELL FOSTER 27.1% (10,257) · LOU ANTONELLI 1.5% (573) · TRACY JONES 1.5% (570) · 16,159 net for leaderAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: 10,254 votes · PAT FALLON 70.3% (7,210) · RUSSELL FOSTER 26.2% (2,691) · LOU ANTONELLI 2.8% (282) · TRACY JONES 0.7% (71) · 4,519 net for leaderTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: 13,530 votes · PAT FALLON 78.2% (10,575) · RUSSELL FOSTER 19.4% (2,623) · LOU ANTONELLI 1.3% (171) · TRACY JONES 1.2% (161) · 7,952 net for leaderEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: 37,368 votes · PAT FALLON 76.5% (28,593) · RUSSELL FOSTER 21.4% (7,994) · LOU ANTONELLI 2.1% (768) · TRACY JONES 0.0% (13) · 20,599 net for leaderMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: 4,973 votes · PAT FALLON 71.9% (3,575) · RUSSELL FOSTER 26.4% (1,315) · LOU ANTONELLI 1.4% (69) · TRACY JONES 0.3% (14) · 2,260 net for leaderFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: 4,739 votes · PAT FALLON 71.9% (3,408) · RUSSELL FOSTER 26.4% (1,251) · LOU ANTONELLI 1.6% (76) · TRACY JONES 0.1% (4) · 2,157 net for leaderLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: 29,063 votes · PAT FALLON 74.3% (21,582) · RUSSELL FOSTER 23.4% (6,808) · LOU ANTONELLI 2.3% (671) · TRACY JONES 0.0% (2) · 14,774 net for leaderBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: 5,637 votes · PAT FALLON 76.9% (4,333) · RUSSELL FOSTER 20.4% (1,151) · LOU ANTONELLI 2.7% (153) · 3,182 net for leaderMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: 5,891 votes · PAT FALLON 85.5% (5,035) · RUSSELL FOSTER 13.2% (777) · LOU ANTONELLI 1.3% (79) · 4,258 net for leaderMorris: 5,436 votes · PAT FALLON 68.7% (3,737) · RUSSELL FOSTER 29.9% (1,624) · LOU ANTONELLI 1.3% (70) · TRACY JONES 0.1% (5) · 2,113 net for leaderLampasas: no dataUpshur: 13,202 votes · PAT FALLON 85.1% (11,233) · RUSSELL FOSTER 13.4% (1,765) · LOU ANTONELLI 1.5% (204) · 9,468 net for leaderWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (1)
  • Swing outlier2.6
    BOWIE
    PAT FALLON shifted +10.3pp early→E-day vs +3.7pp statewide (2.2σ outlier)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • BOWIE37,816 total
    FALLONEarly 20,115 · E-day 6,30126,416
    FOSTEREarly 8,746 · E-day 1,51110,257
    ANTONELLIEarly 413 · E-day 160573
    JONESEarly 463 · E-day 107570
  • CAMP4,973 total
    FALLONEarly 3,082 · E-day 4933,575
    FOSTEREarly 1,092 · E-day 2231,315
    ANTONELLIEarly 40 · E-day 2969
    JONESEarly 11 · E-day 314
  • CASS13,530 total
    FALLONEarly 8,113 · E-day 2,46210,575
    FOSTEREarly 2,155 · E-day 4682,623
    ANTONELLIEarly 101 · E-day 70171
    JONESEarly 142 · E-day 19161
  • COLLIN29,063 total
    FALLONEarly 19,332 · E-day 2,25021,582
    FOSTEREarly 6,213 · E-day 5956,808
    ANTONELLIEarly 564 · E-day 107671
    JONESEarly 2 · E-day 02
  • DELTA2,470 total
    FALLONEarly 1,423 · E-day 6422,065
    FOSTEREarly 299 · E-day 67366
    ANTONELLIEarly 23 · E-day 1336
    JONESEarly 3 · E-day 03
  • FANNIN14,524 total
    FALLONEarly 8,624 · E-day 3,20111,825
    FOSTEREarly 1,934 · E-day 4642,398
    ANTONELLIEarly 173 · E-day 114287
    JONESEarly 13 · E-day 114
  • FRANKLIN4,875 total
    FALLONEarly 3,157 · E-day 8924,049
    FOSTEREarly 599 · E-day 124723
    ANTONELLIEarly 45 · E-day 2368
    JONESEarly 29 · E-day 635
  • GRAYSON58,609 total
    FALLONEarly 37,935 · E-day 6,54044,475
    FOSTEREarly 11,489 · E-day 1,54213,031
    ANTONELLIEarly 781 · E-day 3041,085
    JONESEarly 16 · E-day 218
  • HOPKINS15,380 total
    FALLONEarly 10,011 · E-day 2,31212,323
    FOSTEREarly 2,297 · E-day 4712,768
    ANTONELLIEarly 203 · E-day 81284
    JONESEarly 4 · E-day 15
  • HUNT37,368 total
    FALLONEarly 20,829 · E-day 7,76428,593
    FOSTEREarly 6,188 · E-day 1,8067,994
    ANTONELLIEarly 485 · E-day 283768
    JONESEarly 12 · E-day 113
  • LAMAR20,914 total
    FALLONEarly 12,331 · E-day 3,74816,079
    FOSTEREarly 3,488 · E-day 6904,178
    ANTONELLIEarly 230 · E-day 84314
    JONESEarly 336 · E-day 7343
  • MARION4,739 total
    FALLONEarly 2,572 · E-day 8363,408
    FOSTEREarly 1,003 · E-day 2481,251
    ANTONELLIEarly 54 · E-day 2276
    JONESEarly 4 · E-day 04
  • MORRIS5,436 total
    FALLONEarly 2,722 · E-day 1,0153,737
    FOSTEREarly 1,273 · E-day 3511,624
    ANTONELLIEarly 37 · E-day 3370
    JONESEarly 0 · E-day 55
  • RAINS5,891 total
    FALLONEarly 4,193 · E-day 8425,035
    FOSTEREarly 661 · E-day 116777
    ANTONELLIEarly 46 · E-day 3379
    JONESEarly 0 · E-day 00
  • RED RIVER5,637 total
    FALLONEarly 3,110 · E-day 1,2234,333
    FOSTEREarly 935 · E-day 2161,151
    ANTONELLIEarly 108 · E-day 45153
    JONESEarly 0 · E-day 00
  • ROCKWALL53,122 total
    FALLONEarly 33,516 · E-day 3,80837,324
    FOSTEREarly 13,358 · E-day 1,24814,606
    ANTONELLIEarly 924 · E-day 2201,144
    JONESEarly 48 · E-day 048
  • TITUS10,254 total
    FALLONEarly 5,667 · E-day 1,5437,210
    FOSTEREarly 2,093 · E-day 5982,691
    ANTONELLIEarly 204 · E-day 78282
    JONESEarly 59 · E-day 1271
  • UPSHUR13,202 total
    FALLONEarly 9,025 · E-day 2,20811,233
    FOSTEREarly 1,493 · E-day 2721,765
    ANTONELLIEarly 138 · E-day 66204
    JONESEarly 0 · E-day 00