U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 8

6
Final Results·382,471 ballots cast
KEVIN BRADYI
72.5%277,327
ELIZABETH HERNANDEZ
25.5%97,409
CHRIS DUNCAN
2.0%7,735
Early vote vs Election Day

KEVIN BRADY gained 2.2 percentage points on Election Day.

KEVIN BRADY+2.2pp on E-day
Early 237,156 (85.5%)E-day 40,171 (14.5%)
ELIZABETH HERNANDEZ-3.9pp on E-day
Early 85,492 (87.8%)E-day 11,917 (12.2%)
CHRIS DUNCAN+1.7pp on E-day
Early 5,845 (75.6%)E-day 1,890 (24.4%)
Race totals382,471 ballots
Early 328,493 (85.9%)E-day 53,978 (14.1%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: 4,062 votes · KEVIN BRADY 88.1% (3,579) · ELIZABETH HERNANDEZ 10.9% (443) · CHRIS DUNCAN 1.0% (40) · 3,136 net for leaderStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: 9,353 votes · KEVIN BRADY 75.5% (7,066) · ELIZABETH HERNANDEZ 23.3% (2,177) · CHRIS DUNCAN 1.2% (110) · 4,889 net for leaderBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: 12,360 votes · KEVIN BRADY 80.9% (10,000) · ELIZABETH HERNANDEZ 17.2% (2,131) · CHRIS DUNCAN 1.9% (229) · 7,869 net for leaderKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: no dataMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: 23,537 votes · KEVIN BRADY 66.7% (15,694) · ELIZABETH HERNANDEZ 31.3% (7,357) · CHRIS DUNCAN 2.1% (486) · 8,337 net for leaderGalveston: no dataHarris: 42,044 votes · KEVIN BRADY 61.6% (25,906) · ELIZABETH HERNANDEZ 36.2% (15,212) · CHRIS DUNCAN 2.2% (926) · 10,694 net for leaderDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: 12,198 votes · KEVIN BRADY 76.7% (9,356) · ELIZABETH HERNANDEZ 21.6% (2,638) · CHRIS DUNCAN 1.7% (204) · 6,718 net for leaderIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: 5,242 votes · KEVIN BRADY 79.2% (4,151) · ELIZABETH HERNANDEZ 19.5% (1,024) · CHRIS DUNCAN 1.3% (67) · 3,127 net for leaderMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: 6,808 votes · KEVIN BRADY 81.4% (5,543) · ELIZABETH HERNANDEZ 17.4% (1,185) · CHRIS DUNCAN 1.2% (80) · 4,358 net for leaderCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: 266,867 votes · KEVIN BRADY 73.5% (196,032) · ELIZABETH HERNANDEZ 24.4% (65,242) · CHRIS DUNCAN 2.1% (5,593) · 130,790 net for leaderLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (6)
  • Underperform4.3
    HARRIS
    KEVIN BRADY's margin +25.4pp vs statewide +47.0pp
  • Swing outlier2.9
    HOUSTON
    KEVIN BRADY shifted +5.2pp early→E-day vs +1.4pp statewide (4.3σ outlier)
  • Swing outlier2.1
    WALKER
    KEVIN BRADY shifted +3.1pp early→E-day vs +1.4pp statewide (2.0σ outlier)
  • Landslide1.8
    LEON
    KEVIN BRADY won by +77.2pp vs statewide +47.0pp
  • Crossover1.5
    HARRIS
    KEVIN BRADY (REP) won a county with 46.7% REP lean
  • Swing outlier1.2
    TRINITY
    KEVIN BRADY shifted -0.5pp early→E-day vs +1.4pp statewide (2.1σ outlier)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • GRIMES12,198 total
    BRADYEarly 7,142 · E-day 2,2149,356
    HERNANDEZEarly 2,127 · E-day 5112,638
    DUNCANEarly 126 · E-day 78204
  • HARRIS42,044 total
    BRADYEarly 22,972 · E-day 2,93425,906
    HERNANDEZEarly 13,672 · E-day 1,54015,212
    DUNCANEarly 717 · E-day 209926
  • HOUSTON9,353 total
    BRADYEarly 5,226 · E-day 1,8407,066
    HERNANDEZEarly 1,742 · E-day 4352,177
    DUNCANEarly 69 · E-day 41110
  • LEON4,062 total
    BRADYEarly 2,345 · E-day 1,2343,579
    HERNANDEZEarly 325 · E-day 118443
    DUNCANEarly 24 · E-day 1640
  • MADISON5,242 total
    BRADYEarly 3,426 · E-day 7254,151
    HERNANDEZEarly 865 · E-day 1591,024
    DUNCANEarly 51 · E-day 1667
  • MONTGOMERY266,867 total
    BRADYEarly 170,695 · E-day 25,337196,032
    HERNANDEZEarly 57,828 · E-day 7,41465,242
    DUNCANEarly 4,297 · E-day 1,2965,593
  • SAN JACINTO12,360 total
    BRADYEarly 8,248 · E-day 1,75210,000
    HERNANDEZEarly 1,791 · E-day 3402,131
    DUNCANEarly 166 · E-day 63229
  • TRINITY6,808 total
    BRADYEarly 4,282 · E-day 1,2615,543
    HERNANDEZEarly 917 · E-day 2681,185
    DUNCANEarly 53 · E-day 2780
  • WALKER23,537 total
    BRADYEarly 12,820 · E-day 2,87415,694
    HERNANDEZEarly 6,225 · E-day 1,1327,357
    DUNCANEarly 342 · E-day 144486