U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 12

3
Final Results·367,021 ballots cast
KAY GRANGERI
63.7%233,853
LISA WELCH
33.0%121,250
TREY HOLCOMB
3.3%11,918
Early vote vs Election Day

KAY GRANGER gained 3.1 percentage points on Election Day.

KAY GRANGER+3.1pp on E-day
Early 203,196 (86.9%)E-day 30,657 (13.1%)
LISA WELCH-5.4pp on E-day
Early 108,186 (89.2%)E-day 13,064 (10.8%)
TREY HOLCOMB+2.3pp on E-day
Early 9,489 (79.6%)E-day 2,429 (20.4%)
Race totals367,021 ballots
Early 320,871 (87.4%)E-day 46,150 (12.6%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: 75,175 votes · KAY GRANGER 82.5% (61,985) · LISA WELCH 14.0% (10,519) · TREY HOLCOMB 3.6% (2,671) · 51,466 net for leaderKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: no dataMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: 280,078 votes · KAY GRANGER 58.0% (162,333) · LISA WELCH 38.9% (108,874) · TREY HOLCOMB 3.2% (8,871) · 53,459 net for leaderJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: 11,768 votes · KAY GRANGER 81.0% (9,535) · LISA WELCH 15.8% (1,857) · TREY HOLCOMB 3.2% (376) · 7,678 net for leaderGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (3)
  • Landslide6.0
    PARKER
    KAY GRANGER won by +68.5pp vs statewide +30.7pp
  • Landslide3.5
    WISE
    KAY GRANGER won by +65.2pp vs statewide +30.7pp
  • Swing outlier2.4
    WISE
    KAY GRANGER shifted -2.2pp early→E-day vs +2.3pp statewide (3.2σ outlier)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • PARKER75,175 total
    GRANGEREarly 53,224 · E-day 8,76161,985
    WELCHEarly 9,219 · E-day 1,30010,519
    HOLCOMBEarly 2,131 · E-day 5402,671
  • TARRANT280,078 total
    GRANGEREarly 141,860 · E-day 20,473162,333
    WELCHEarly 97,393 · E-day 11,481108,874
    HOLCOMBEarly 7,074 · E-day 1,7978,871
  • WISE11,768 total
    GRANGEREarly 8,112 · E-day 1,4239,535
    WELCHEarly 1,574 · E-day 2831,857
    HOLCOMBEarly 284 · E-day 92376