STATE SENATOR, DISTRICT 19

14Runoff
Final Results·318,404 ballots cast
ROLAND GUTIERREZ
49.9%158,726
PETER P. "PETE" FLORESI
46.5%148,213
JO-ANNE VALDIVIA
3.6%11,465
Early vote vs Election Day

PETER P. "PETE" FLORES gained 6.5 percentage points on Election Day.

ROLAND GUTIERREZ-8.0pp on E-day
Early 138,827 (87.5%)E-day 19,899 (12.5%)
PETER P. "PETE" FLORES+6.5pp on E-day
Early 124,127 (83.7%)E-day 24,086 (16.3%)
JO-ANNE VALDIVIA+1.5pp on E-day
Early 9,216 (80.4%)E-day 2,249 (19.6%)
Race totals318,404 ballots
Early 272,170 (85.5%)E-day 46,234 (14.5%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: 3,380 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 61.3% (2,072) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 36.5% (1,235) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 2.2% (73) · 837 net for leaderNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: 3,892 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 65.2% (2,538) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 32.3% (1,257) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 2.5% (97) · 1,281 net for leaderRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: 1,506 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 25.1% (378) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 73.0% (1,100) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 1.9% (28) · 722 net for leaderFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: 208,789 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 56.0% (116,848) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 39.9% (83,329) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 4.1% (8,612) · 33,519 net for leaderUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: 965 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 13.7% (132) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 84.9% (819) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 1.5% (14) · 687 net for leaderWaller: no dataMaverick: 14,257 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 55.8% (7,959) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 41.3% (5,882) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 2.9% (416) · 2,077 net for leaderKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: 1,913 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 13.8% (264) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 84.7% (1,620) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 1.5% (29) · 1,356 net for leaderCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: 21,982 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 26.4% (5,811) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 71.0% (15,603) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 2.6% (568) · 9,792 net for leaderMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: 4,569 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 31.3% (1,432) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 66.3% (3,027) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 2.4% (110) · 1,595 net for leaderNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: 4,955 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 47.2% (2,339) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 50.5% (2,503) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 2.3% (113) · 164 net for leaderLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: 3,387 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 37.8% (1,281) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 58.7% (1,987) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 3.5% (119) · 706 net for leaderNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: 445 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 25.8% (115) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 73.3% (326) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 0.9% (4) · 211 net for leaderDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: 10,012 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 37.0% (3,707) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 60.7% (6,073) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 2.3% (232) · 2,366 net for leaderBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: 17,374 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 30.7% (5,341) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 67.2% (11,679) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 2.0% (354) · 6,338 net for leaderWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: 1,480 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 22.1% (327) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 76.6% (1,133) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 1.4% (20) · 806 net for leaderHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: 14,756 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 41.4% (6,107) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 55.3% (8,157) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 3.3% (492) · 2,050 net for leaderSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: 4,742 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 43.8% (2,075) · PETER P. "PETE" FLORES 52.4% (2,483) · JO-ANNE VALDIVIA 3.9% (184) · 408 net for leaderGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (14)
  • Underperform8.2
    MEDINA
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -44.5pp vs statewide +3.3pp
  • Underperform6.1
    ATASCOSA
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -36.5pp vs statewide +3.3pp
  • Underperform3.7
    REAL
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -70.9pp vs statewide +3.3pp
  • Underperform3.1
    UVALDE
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -23.6pp vs statewide +3.3pp
  • Underperform3.0
    PECOS
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -34.9pp vs statewide +3.3pp
  • Underperform2.7
    EDWARDS
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -71.2pp vs statewide +3.3pp
  • Underperform2.6
    CROCKETT
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -54.5pp vs statewide +3.3pp
  • Underperform2.4
    VAL VERDE
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -13.9pp vs statewide +3.3pp
  • Swing outlier2.3
    MEDINA
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ shifted +0.1pp early→E-day vs -7.3pp statewide (2.2σ outlier)
  • Underperform2.3
    KINNEY
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -47.9pp vs statewide +3.3pp
  • Swing outlier2.1
    ATASCOSA
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ shifted +0.2pp early→E-day vs -7.3pp statewide (2.3σ outlier)
  • Underperform1.6
    REEVES
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -20.8pp vs statewide +3.3pp
  • Underperform1.2
    TERRELL
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -47.4pp vs statewide +3.3pp
  • Mid-race flip0.7
    FRIO
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ led early (49.2%); PETER P. "PETE" FLORES won E-day (55.0%)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • ATASCOSA17,374 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 4,363 · E-day 9785,341
    FLORESEarly 9,584 · E-day 2,09511,679
    VALDIVIAEarly 262 · E-day 92354
  • BEXAR208,789 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 104,669 · E-day 12,179116,848
    FLORESEarly 71,925 · E-day 11,40483,329
    VALDIVIAEarly 7,063 · E-day 1,5498,612
  • BREWSTER4,742 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 1,796 · E-day 2792,075
    FLORESEarly 2,008 · E-day 4752,483
    VALDIVIAEarly 139 · E-day 45184
  • CROCKETT1,480 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 248 · E-day 79327
    FLORESEarly 888 · E-day 2451,133
    VALDIVIAEarly 15 · E-day 520
  • DIMMIT3,380 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 1,464 · E-day 6082,072
    FLORESEarly 792 · E-day 4431,235
    VALDIVIAEarly 50 · E-day 2373
  • EDWARDS965 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 100 · E-day 32132
    FLORESEarly 599 · E-day 220819
    VALDIVIAEarly 9 · E-day 514
  • FRIO4,955 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 1,716 · E-day 6232,339
    FLORESEarly 1,696 · E-day 8072,503
    VALDIVIAEarly 76 · E-day 37113
  • KINNEY1,506 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 320 · E-day 58378
    FLORESEarly 925 · E-day 1751,100
    VALDIVIAEarly 20 · E-day 828
  • MAVERICK14,257 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 6,187 · E-day 1,7727,959
    FLORESEarly 4,172 · E-day 1,7105,882
    VALDIVIAEarly 273 · E-day 143416
  • MEDINA21,982 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 5,136 · E-day 6755,811
    FLORESEarly 13,822 · E-day 1,78115,603
    VALDIVIAEarly 476 · E-day 92568
  • PECOS4,569 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 1,207 · E-day 2251,432
    FLORESEarly 2,508 · E-day 5193,027
    VALDIVIAEarly 83 · E-day 27110
  • REAL1,913 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 215 · E-day 49264
    FLORESEarly 1,352 · E-day 2681,620
    VALDIVIAEarly 22 · E-day 729
  • REEVES3,387 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 1,032 · E-day 2491,281
    FLORESEarly 1,391 · E-day 5961,987
    VALDIVIAEarly 77 · E-day 42119
  • TERRELL445 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 97 · E-day 18115
    FLORESEarly 248 · E-day 78326
    VALDIVIAEarly 3 · E-day 14
  • UVALDE10,012 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 3,164 · E-day 5433,707
    FLORESEarly 4,649 · E-day 1,4246,073
    VALDIVIAEarly 169 · E-day 63232
  • VAL VERDE14,756 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 5,229 · E-day 8786,107
    FLORESEarly 6,834 · E-day 1,3238,157
    VALDIVIAEarly 414 · E-day 78492
  • ZAVALA3,892 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 1,884 · E-day 6542,538
    FLORESEarly 734 · E-day 5231,257
    VALDIVIAEarly 65 · E-day 3297