STATE REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 45
⚠ 3
Final Results·113,558 ballots cast
ERIN ZWIENERI
50.5%57,383
CARRIE ISAAC
49.5%56,175
Early vote vs Election Day
CARRIE ISAAC gained 8.5 percentage points on Election Day.
ERIN ZWIENER-8.5pp on E-day
Early 52,426 (91.4%)E-day 4,957 (8.6%)
CARRIE ISAAC+8.5pp on E-day
Early 49,566 (88.2%)E-day 6,609 (11.8%)
Race totals113,558 ballots
Early 101,992 (89.8%)E-day 11,566 (10.2%)
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (3)
- Underperform5.0BLANCOERIN ZWIENER's margin -49.8pp vs statewide +1.1pp
- Swing outlier2.3BLANCOERIN ZWIENER shifted -10.3pp early→E-day vs -7.9pp statewide (3.8σ outlier)
- Mid-race flip0.5HAYSERIN ZWIENER led early (53.1%); CARRIE ISAAC won E-day (54.7%)
County results — early vs Election Day
| County | ZWIENER | ISAAC | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | ||
| BLANCO | 1,678 | 158 | 1,836 | 4,660 | 818 | 5,478 | 7,314 |
| HAYS | 50,748 | 4,799 | 55,547 | 44,906 | 5,791 | 50,697 | 106,244 |
- BLANCO7,314 totalZWIENEREarly 1,678 · E-day 1581,836ISAACEarly 4,660 · E-day 8185,478
- HAYS106,244 totalZWIENEREarly 50,748 · E-day 4,79955,547ISAACEarly 44,906 · E-day 5,79150,697