JUSTICE, 1ST COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 3

12
Final Results·2,308,486 ballots cast
VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY
50.8%1,171,700
RUSSELL LLOYDI
49.2%1,136,786
Early vote vs Election Day

RUSSELL LLOYD gained 2.1 percentage points on Election Day.

VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY-2.1pp on E-day
Early 1,044,370 (89.1%)E-day 127,330 (10.9%)
RUSSELL LLOYD+2.1pp on E-day
Early 1,003,594 (88.3%)E-day 133,192 (11.7%)
Race totals2,308,486 ballots
Early 2,047,964 (88.7%)E-day 260,522 (11.3%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: 338,363 votes · RUSSELL LLOYD 47.1% (159,448) · VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY 52.9% (178,915) · 19,467 net for leaderParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: 16,797 votes · RUSSELL LLOYD 76.6% (12,871) · VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY 23.4% (3,926) · 8,945 net for leaderLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: 21,900 votes · RUSSELL LLOYD 65.0% (14,228) · VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY 35.0% (7,672) · 6,556 net for leaderMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: 149,788 votes · RUSSELL LLOYD 63.3% (94,802) · VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY 36.7% (54,986) · 39,816 net for leaderHarris: 1,575,122 votes · RUSSELL LLOYD 45.7% (719,066) · VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY 54.3% (856,056) · 136,990 net for leaderDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: 9,660 votes · RUSSELL LLOYD 76.3% (7,372) · VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY 23.7% (2,288) · 5,084 net for leaderWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: 11,936 votes · RUSSELL LLOYD 77.8% (9,286) · VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY 22.2% (2,650) · 6,636 net for leaderIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: 20,901 votes · RUSSELL LLOYD 81.9% (17,112) · VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY 18.1% (3,789) · 13,323 net for leaderHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: 149,715 votes · RUSSELL LLOYD 60.8% (91,024) · VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY 39.2% (58,691) · 32,333 net for leaderThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: 14,304 votes · RUSSELL LLOYD 80.9% (11,577) · VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY 19.1% (2,727) · 8,850 net for leaderHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (12)
  • Underperform10.0
    CHAMBERS
    VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY's margin -63.7pp vs statewide +1.5pp
  • Underperform8.8
    AUSTIN
    VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY's margin -61.9pp vs statewide +1.5pp
  • Underperform8.2
    WASHINGTON
    VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY's margin -53.3pp vs statewide +1.5pp
  • Underperform7.2
    GRIMES
    VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY's margin -55.6pp vs statewide +1.5pp
  • Swing outlier6.2
    CHAMBERS
    VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY shifted +4.3pp early→E-day vs -1.9pp statewide (6.2σ outlier)
  • Underperform6.1
    COLORADO
    VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY's margin -52.6pp vs statewide +1.5pp
  • Underperform5.6
    GALVESTON
    VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY's margin -26.6pp vs statewide +1.5pp
  • Underperform5.4
    WALLER
    VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY's margin -29.9pp vs statewide +1.5pp
  • Underperform4.6
    BRAZORIA
    VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY's margin -21.6pp vs statewide +1.5pp
  • Swing outlier3.8
    WALLER
    VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY shifted +1.8pp early→E-day vs -1.9pp statewide (3.7σ outlier)
  • Swing outlier3.6
    COLORADO
    VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY shifted -7.2pp early→E-day vs -1.9pp statewide (5.2σ outlier)
  • Swing outlier1.5
    GRIMES
    VERONICA RIVAS-MOLLOY shifted -4.0pp early→E-day vs -1.9pp statewide (2.0σ outlier)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • AUSTIN14,304 total
    RIVAS-MOLLOYEarly 2,220 · E-day 5072,727
    LLOYDEarly 9,137 · E-day 2,44011,577
  • BRAZORIA149,715 total
    RIVAS-MOLLOYEarly 53,758 · E-day 4,93358,691
    LLOYDEarly 82,167 · E-day 8,85791,024
  • CHAMBERS20,901 total
    RIVAS-MOLLOYEarly 3,255 · E-day 5343,789
    LLOYDEarly 15,208 · E-day 1,90417,112
  • COLORADO9,660 total
    RIVAS-MOLLOYEarly 1,957 · E-day 3312,288
    LLOYDEarly 5,850 · E-day 1,5227,372
  • FORT BEND338,363 total
    RIVAS-MOLLOYEarly 165,002 · E-day 13,913178,915
    LLOYDEarly 146,324 · E-day 13,124159,448
  • GALVESTON149,788 total
    RIVAS-MOLLOYEarly 50,180 · E-day 4,80654,986
    LLOYDEarly 86,324 · E-day 8,47894,802
  • GRIMES11,936 total
    RIVAS-MOLLOYEarly 2,124 · E-day 5262,650
    LLOYDEarly 7,062 · E-day 2,2249,286
  • HARRIS1,575,122 total
    RIVAS-MOLLOYEarly 756,058 · E-day 99,998856,056
    LLOYDEarly 628,752 · E-day 90,314719,066
  • WALLER21,900 total
    RIVAS-MOLLOYEarly 6,455 · E-day 1,2177,672
    LLOYDEarly 12,115 · E-day 2,11314,228
  • WASHINGTON16,797 total
    RIVAS-MOLLOYEarly 3,361 · E-day 5653,926
    LLOYDEarly 10,655 · E-day 2,21612,871