JUSTICE, 1ST COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 5
⚠ 12
Final Results·2,306,358 ballots cast
AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA
50.1%1,155,448
TERRY ADAMS
49.9%1,150,910
Early vote vs Election Day
TERRY ADAMS gained 2.3 percentage points on Election Day.
AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA-2.3pp on E-day
Early 1,030,232 (89.2%)E-day 125,216 (10.8%)
TERRY ADAMS+2.3pp on E-day
Early 1,015,747 (88.3%)E-day 135,163 (11.7%)
Race totals2,306,358 ballots
Early 2,045,979 (88.7%)E-day 260,379 (11.3%)
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (12)
- Underperform10.0CHAMBERSAMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -64.9pp vs statewide +0.2pp
- Underperform8.7AUSTINAMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -62.9pp vs statewide +0.2pp
- Underperform8.3WASHINGTONAMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -55.0pp vs statewide +0.2pp
- Underperform7.2GRIMESAMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -56.9pp vs statewide +0.2pp
- Swing outlier6.4CHAMBERSAMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA shifted +4.1pp early→E-day vs -2.1pp statewide (6.4σ outlier)
- Underperform6.1COLORADOAMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -53.7pp vs statewide +0.2pp
- Underperform5.6GALVESTONAMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -28.0pp vs statewide +0.2pp
- Underperform5.4WALLERAMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -31.3pp vs statewide +0.2pp
- Underperform4.6BRAZORIAAMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -23.0pp vs statewide +0.2pp
- Swing outlier4.2WALLERAMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA shifted +1.9pp early→E-day vs -2.1pp statewide (4.1σ outlier)
- Swing outlier3.8COLORADOAMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA shifted -7.6pp early→E-day vs -2.1pp statewide (5.6σ outlier)
- Swing outlier1.5GRIMESAMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA shifted -4.1pp early→E-day vs -2.1pp statewide (2.0σ outlier)
County results — early vs Election Day
| County | GUERRA | ADAMS | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | ||
| AUSTIN | 2,154 | 495 | 2,649 | 9,180 | 2,452 | 11,632 | 14,281 |
| BRAZORIA | 52,761 | 4,820 | 57,581 | 82,970 | 8,954 | 91,924 | 149,505 |
| CHAMBERS | 3,143 | 514 | 3,657 | 15,275 | 1,914 | 17,189 | 20,846 |
| COLORADO | 1,919 | 315 | 2,234 | 5,882 | 1,539 | 7,421 | 9,655 |
| FORT BEND | 162,082 | 13,582 | 175,664 | 148,887 | 13,451 | 162,338 | 338,002 |
| GALVESTON | 49,192 | 4,653 | 53,845 | 87,076 | 8,597 | 95,673 | 149,518 |
| GRIMES | 2,066 | 506 | 2,572 | 7,118 | 2,246 | 9,364 | 11,936 |
| HARRIS | 747,354 | 98,597 | 845,951 | 636,317 | 91,635 | 727,952 | 1,573,903 |
| WALLER | 6,315 | 1,193 | 7,508 | 12,234 | 2,130 | 14,364 | 21,872 |
| WASHINGTON | 3,246 | 541 | 3,787 | 10,808 | 2,245 | 13,053 | 16,840 |
- AUSTIN14,281 totalGUERRAEarly 2,154 · E-day 4952,649ADAMSEarly 9,180 · E-day 2,45211,632
- BRAZORIA149,505 totalGUERRAEarly 52,761 · E-day 4,82057,581ADAMSEarly 82,970 · E-day 8,95491,924
- CHAMBERS20,846 totalGUERRAEarly 3,143 · E-day 5143,657ADAMSEarly 15,275 · E-day 1,91417,189
- COLORADO9,655 totalGUERRAEarly 1,919 · E-day 3152,234ADAMSEarly 5,882 · E-day 1,5397,421
- FORT BEND338,002 totalGUERRAEarly 162,082 · E-day 13,582175,664ADAMSEarly 148,887 · E-day 13,451162,338
- GALVESTON149,518 totalGUERRAEarly 49,192 · E-day 4,65353,845ADAMSEarly 87,076 · E-day 8,59795,673
- GRIMES11,936 totalGUERRAEarly 2,066 · E-day 5062,572ADAMSEarly 7,118 · E-day 2,2469,364
- HARRIS1,573,903 totalGUERRAEarly 747,354 · E-day 98,597845,951ADAMSEarly 636,317 · E-day 91,635727,952
- WALLER21,872 totalGUERRAEarly 6,315 · E-day 1,1937,508ADAMSEarly 12,234 · E-day 2,13014,364
- WASHINGTON16,840 totalGUERRAEarly 3,246 · E-day 5413,787ADAMSEarly 10,808 · E-day 2,24513,053