JUSTICE, 1ST COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 5

12
Final Results·2,306,358 ballots cast
AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA
50.1%1,155,448
TERRY ADAMS
49.9%1,150,910
Early vote vs Election Day

TERRY ADAMS gained 2.3 percentage points on Election Day.

AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA-2.3pp on E-day
Early 1,030,232 (89.2%)E-day 125,216 (10.8%)
TERRY ADAMS+2.3pp on E-day
Early 1,015,747 (88.3%)E-day 135,163 (11.7%)
Race totals2,306,358 ballots
Early 2,045,979 (88.7%)E-day 260,379 (11.3%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: 338,002 votes · TERRY ADAMS 48.0% (162,338) · AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA 52.0% (175,664) · 13,326 net for leaderParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: 16,840 votes · TERRY ADAMS 77.5% (13,053) · AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA 22.5% (3,787) · 9,266 net for leaderLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: 21,872 votes · TERRY ADAMS 65.7% (14,364) · AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA 34.3% (7,508) · 6,856 net for leaderMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: 149,518 votes · TERRY ADAMS 64.0% (95,673) · AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA 36.0% (53,845) · 41,828 net for leaderHarris: 1,573,903 votes · TERRY ADAMS 46.3% (727,952) · AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA 53.7% (845,951) · 117,999 net for leaderDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: 9,655 votes · TERRY ADAMS 76.9% (7,421) · AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA 23.1% (2,234) · 5,187 net for leaderWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: 11,936 votes · TERRY ADAMS 78.5% (9,364) · AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA 21.5% (2,572) · 6,792 net for leaderIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: 20,846 votes · TERRY ADAMS 82.5% (17,189) · AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA 17.5% (3,657) · 13,532 net for leaderHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: 149,505 votes · TERRY ADAMS 61.5% (91,924) · AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA 38.5% (57,581) · 34,343 net for leaderThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: 14,281 votes · TERRY ADAMS 81.5% (11,632) · AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA 18.5% (2,649) · 8,983 net for leaderHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (12)
  • Underperform10.0
    CHAMBERS
    AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -64.9pp vs statewide +0.2pp
  • Underperform8.7
    AUSTIN
    AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -62.9pp vs statewide +0.2pp
  • Underperform8.3
    WASHINGTON
    AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -55.0pp vs statewide +0.2pp
  • Underperform7.2
    GRIMES
    AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -56.9pp vs statewide +0.2pp
  • Swing outlier6.4
    CHAMBERS
    AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA shifted +4.1pp early→E-day vs -2.1pp statewide (6.4σ outlier)
  • Underperform6.1
    COLORADO
    AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -53.7pp vs statewide +0.2pp
  • Underperform5.6
    GALVESTON
    AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -28.0pp vs statewide +0.2pp
  • Underperform5.4
    WALLER
    AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -31.3pp vs statewide +0.2pp
  • Underperform4.6
    BRAZORIA
    AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA's margin -23.0pp vs statewide +0.2pp
  • Swing outlier4.2
    WALLER
    AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA shifted +1.9pp early→E-day vs -2.1pp statewide (4.1σ outlier)
  • Swing outlier3.8
    COLORADO
    AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA shifted -7.6pp early→E-day vs -2.1pp statewide (5.6σ outlier)
  • Swing outlier1.5
    GRIMES
    AMPARO MONIQUE GUERRA shifted -4.1pp early→E-day vs -2.1pp statewide (2.0σ outlier)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • AUSTIN14,281 total
    GUERRAEarly 2,154 · E-day 4952,649
    ADAMSEarly 9,180 · E-day 2,45211,632
  • BRAZORIA149,505 total
    GUERRAEarly 52,761 · E-day 4,82057,581
    ADAMSEarly 82,970 · E-day 8,95491,924
  • CHAMBERS20,846 total
    GUERRAEarly 3,143 · E-day 5143,657
    ADAMSEarly 15,275 · E-day 1,91417,189
  • COLORADO9,655 total
    GUERRAEarly 1,919 · E-day 3152,234
    ADAMSEarly 5,882 · E-day 1,5397,421
  • FORT BEND338,002 total
    GUERRAEarly 162,082 · E-day 13,582175,664
    ADAMSEarly 148,887 · E-day 13,451162,338
  • GALVESTON149,518 total
    GUERRAEarly 49,192 · E-day 4,65353,845
    ADAMSEarly 87,076 · E-day 8,59795,673
  • GRIMES11,936 total
    GUERRAEarly 2,066 · E-day 5062,572
    ADAMSEarly 7,118 · E-day 2,2469,364
  • HARRIS1,573,903 total
    GUERRAEarly 747,354 · E-day 98,597845,951
    ADAMSEarly 636,317 · E-day 91,635727,952
  • WALLER21,872 total
    GUERRAEarly 6,315 · E-day 1,1937,508
    ADAMSEarly 12,234 · E-day 2,13014,364
  • WASHINGTON16,840 total
    GUERRAEarly 3,246 · E-day 5413,787
    ADAMSEarly 10,808 · E-day 2,24513,053