U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 10
⚠ 14
Final Results·251,937 ballots cast
MICHAEL MCCAULI
63.3%159,469
LINDA NUNO
34.3%86,404
BILL KELSEY
2.4%6,064
Early vote vs Election Day
MICHAEL MCCAUL gained 6.1 percentage points on Election Day.
MICHAEL MCCAUL+6.1pp on E-day
Early 102,611 (64.3%)E-day 56,858 (35.7%)
LINDA NUNO-7.4pp on E-day
Early 61,612 (71.3%)E-day 24,792 (28.7%)
BILL KELSEY+1.3pp on E-day
Early 3,301 (54.4%)E-day 2,763 (45.6%)
Race totals251,937 ballots
Early 167,524 (66.5%)E-day 84,413 (33.5%)
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / max county margin)
Noted (14)
- Crossover9.7TRAVISMICHAEL MCCAUL (REP) won a county with 29.2% REP lean
- Underperform6.3WILLIAMSONMICHAEL MCCAUL's margin -12.3pp vs statewide +29.0pp
- Underperform4.4TRAVISMICHAEL MCCAUL's margin +7.2pp vs statewide +29.0pp
- Landslide3.9AUSTINMICHAEL MCCAUL won by +69.0pp vs statewide +29.0pp
- Landslide3.7FAYETTEMICHAEL MCCAUL won by +68.3pp vs statewide +29.0pp
- Landslide3.7WASHINGTONMICHAEL MCCAUL won by +62.6pp vs statewide +29.0pp
- Landslide3.1GRIMESMICHAEL MCCAUL won by +63.4pp vs statewide +29.0pp
- Landslide2.8COLORADOMICHAEL MCCAUL won by +64.0pp vs statewide +29.0pp
- Landslide2.8BURLESONMICHAEL MCCAUL won by +65.8pp vs statewide +29.0pp
- Landslide2.7LEEMICHAEL MCCAUL won by +66.5pp vs statewide +29.0pp
- Landslide2.3MADISONMICHAEL MCCAUL won by +69.4pp vs statewide +29.0pp
- Mid-race flip2.0WILLIAMSONLINDA NUNO led early (57.2%); MICHAEL MCCAUL won E-day (48.4%)
- Swing outlier2.0WALLERMICHAEL MCCAUL shifted -5.5pp early→E-day vs +3.5pp statewide (2.2σ outlier)
- Crossover0.6WILLIAMSONLINDA NUNO (DEM) won a county with 51.7% REP lean
County results — early vs Election Day
| County | MCCAUL | NUNO | KELSEY | Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | ||
| AUSTIN | 5,721 | 3,559 | 9,280 | 1,025 | 605 | 1,630 | 97 | 78 | 175 | 11,085 |
| BASTROP | 5,707 | 3,221 | 8,928 | 4,636 | 1,608 | 6,244 | 242 | 179 | 421 | 15,593 |
| BRAZOS | 21,925 | 13,448 | 35,373 | 13,026 | 7,337 | 20,363 | 830 | 882 | 1,712 | 57,448 |
| BURLESON | 3,246 | 2,223 | 5,469 | 676 | 411 | 1,087 | 48 | 51 | 99 | 6,655 |
| COLORADO | 3,804 | 2,266 | 6,070 | 862 | 427 | 1,289 | 55 | 51 | 106 | 7,465 |
| FAYETTE | 4,383 | 4,261 | 8,644 | 979 | 590 | 1,569 | 63 | 84 | 147 | 10,360 |
| GRIMES | 4,162 | 3,432 | 7,594 | 948 | 697 | 1,645 | 52 | 96 | 148 | 9,387 |
| LEE | 2,915 | 2,212 | 5,127 | 613 | 379 | 992 | 49 | 52 | 101 | 6,220 |
| MADISON | 1,730 | 1,512 | 3,242 | 313 | 247 | 560 | 31 | 31 | 62 | 3,864 |
| TRAVIS | 27,708 | 12,046 | 39,754 | 26,057 | 8,251 | 34,308 | 1,195 | 817 | 2,012 | 76,074 |
| WALLER | 8,047 | 3,440 | 11,487 | 3,070 | 1,669 | 4,739 | 199 | 135 | 334 | 16,560 |
| WASHINGTON | 7,866 | 3,263 | 11,129 | 1,787 | 682 | 2,469 | 140 | 94 | 234 | 13,832 |
| WILLIAMSON | 5,397 | 1,975 | 7,372 | 7,620 | 1,889 | 9,509 | 300 | 213 | 513 | 17,394 |
- AUSTIN11,085 totalMCCAULEarly 5,721 · E-day 3,5599,280NUNOEarly 1,025 · E-day 6051,630KELSEYEarly 97 · E-day 78175
- BASTROP15,593 totalMCCAULEarly 5,707 · E-day 3,2218,928NUNOEarly 4,636 · E-day 1,6086,244KELSEYEarly 242 · E-day 179421
- BRAZOS57,448 totalMCCAULEarly 21,925 · E-day 13,44835,373NUNOEarly 13,026 · E-day 7,33720,363KELSEYEarly 830 · E-day 8821,712
- BURLESON6,655 totalMCCAULEarly 3,246 · E-day 2,2235,469NUNOEarly 676 · E-day 4111,087KELSEYEarly 48 · E-day 5199
- COLORADO7,465 totalMCCAULEarly 3,804 · E-day 2,2666,070NUNOEarly 862 · E-day 4271,289KELSEYEarly 55 · E-day 51106
- FAYETTE10,360 totalMCCAULEarly 4,383 · E-day 4,2618,644NUNOEarly 979 · E-day 5901,569KELSEYEarly 63 · E-day 84147
- GRIMES9,387 totalMCCAULEarly 4,162 · E-day 3,4327,594NUNOEarly 948 · E-day 6971,645KELSEYEarly 52 · E-day 96148
- LEE6,220 totalMCCAULEarly 2,915 · E-day 2,2125,127NUNOEarly 613 · E-day 379992KELSEYEarly 49 · E-day 52101
- MADISON3,864 totalMCCAULEarly 1,730 · E-day 1,5123,242NUNOEarly 313 · E-day 247560KELSEYEarly 31 · E-day 3162
- TRAVIS76,074 totalMCCAULEarly 27,708 · E-day 12,04639,754NUNOEarly 26,057 · E-day 8,25134,308KELSEYEarly 1,195 · E-day 8172,012
- WALLER16,560 totalMCCAULEarly 8,047 · E-day 3,44011,487NUNOEarly 3,070 · E-day 1,6694,739KELSEYEarly 199 · E-day 135334
- WASHINGTON13,832 totalMCCAULEarly 7,866 · E-day 3,26311,129NUNOEarly 1,787 · E-day 6822,469KELSEYEarly 140 · E-day 94234
- WILLIAMSON17,394 totalMCCAULEarly 5,397 · E-day 1,9757,372NUNOEarly 7,620 · E-day 1,8899,509KELSEYEarly 300 · E-day 213513