U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 10

14
Final Results·251,937 ballots cast
MICHAEL MCCAULI
63.3%159,469
LINDA NUNO
34.3%86,404
BILL KELSEY
2.4%6,064
Early vote vs Election Day

MICHAEL MCCAUL gained 6.1 percentage points on Election Day.

MICHAEL MCCAUL+6.1pp on E-day
Early 102,611 (64.3%)E-day 56,858 (35.7%)
LINDA NUNO-7.4pp on E-day
Early 61,612 (71.3%)E-day 24,792 (28.7%)
BILL KELSEY+1.3pp on E-day
Early 3,301 (54.4%)E-day 2,763 (45.6%)
Race totals251,937 ballots
Early 167,524 (66.5%)E-day 84,413 (33.5%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: 57,448 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 61.6% (35,373) · LINDA NUNO 35.4% (20,363) · BILL KELSEY 3.0% (1,712) · 15,010 net for leaderJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: 10,360 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 83.4% (8,644) · LINDA NUNO 15.1% (1,569) · BILL KELSEY 1.4% (147) · 7,075 net for leaderBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: 13,832 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 80.5% (11,129) · LINDA NUNO 17.8% (2,469) · BILL KELSEY 1.7% (234) · 8,660 net for leaderLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: 16,560 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 69.4% (11,487) · LINDA NUNO 28.6% (4,739) · BILL KELSEY 2.0% (334) · 6,748 net for leaderMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: 7,465 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 81.3% (6,070) · LINDA NUNO 17.3% (1,289) · BILL KELSEY 1.4% (106) · 4,781 net for leaderWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: 17,394 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 42.4% (7,372) · LINDA NUNO 54.7% (9,509) · BILL KELSEY 2.9% (513) · 2,137 net for leaderCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: 9,387 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 80.9% (7,594) · LINDA NUNO 17.5% (1,645) · BILL KELSEY 1.6% (148) · 5,949 net for leaderIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: 6,220 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 82.4% (5,127) · LINDA NUNO 15.9% (992) · BILL KELSEY 1.6% (101) · 4,135 net for leaderCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: 3,864 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 83.9% (3,242) · LINDA NUNO 14.5% (560) · BILL KELSEY 1.6% (62) · 2,682 net for leaderMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: 15,593 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 57.3% (8,928) · LINDA NUNO 40.0% (6,244) · BILL KELSEY 2.7% (421) · 2,684 net for leaderScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: 11,085 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 83.7% (9,280) · LINDA NUNO 14.7% (1,630) · BILL KELSEY 1.6% (175) · 7,650 net for leaderHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: 6,655 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 82.2% (5,469) · LINDA NUNO 16.3% (1,087) · BILL KELSEY 1.5% (99) · 4,382 net for leaderBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: 76,074 votes · MICHAEL MCCAUL 52.3% (39,754) · LINDA NUNO 45.1% (34,308) · BILL KELSEY 2.6% (2,012) · 5,446 net for leaderHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / max county margin)
Noted (14)
  • Crossover9.7
    TRAVIS
    MICHAEL MCCAUL (REP) won a county with 29.2% REP lean
  • Underperform6.3
    WILLIAMSON
    MICHAEL MCCAUL's margin -12.3pp vs statewide +29.0pp
  • Underperform4.4
    TRAVIS
    MICHAEL MCCAUL's margin +7.2pp vs statewide +29.0pp
  • Landslide3.9
    AUSTIN
    MICHAEL MCCAUL won by +69.0pp vs statewide +29.0pp
  • Landslide3.7
    FAYETTE
    MICHAEL MCCAUL won by +68.3pp vs statewide +29.0pp
  • Landslide3.7
    WASHINGTON
    MICHAEL MCCAUL won by +62.6pp vs statewide +29.0pp
  • Landslide3.1
    GRIMES
    MICHAEL MCCAUL won by +63.4pp vs statewide +29.0pp
  • Landslide2.8
    COLORADO
    MICHAEL MCCAUL won by +64.0pp vs statewide +29.0pp
  • Landslide2.8
    BURLESON
    MICHAEL MCCAUL won by +65.8pp vs statewide +29.0pp
  • Landslide2.7
    LEE
    MICHAEL MCCAUL won by +66.5pp vs statewide +29.0pp
  • Landslide2.3
    MADISON
    MICHAEL MCCAUL won by +69.4pp vs statewide +29.0pp
  • Mid-race flip2.0
    WILLIAMSON
    LINDA NUNO led early (57.2%); MICHAEL MCCAUL won E-day (48.4%)
  • Swing outlier2.0
    WALLER
    MICHAEL MCCAUL shifted -5.5pp early→E-day vs +3.5pp statewide (2.2σ outlier)
  • Crossover0.6
    WILLIAMSON
    LINDA NUNO (DEM) won a county with 51.7% REP lean

County results — early vs Election Day

  • AUSTIN11,085 total
    MCCAULEarly 5,721 · E-day 3,5599,280
    NUNOEarly 1,025 · E-day 6051,630
    KELSEYEarly 97 · E-day 78175
  • BASTROP15,593 total
    MCCAULEarly 5,707 · E-day 3,2218,928
    NUNOEarly 4,636 · E-day 1,6086,244
    KELSEYEarly 242 · E-day 179421
  • BRAZOS57,448 total
    MCCAULEarly 21,925 · E-day 13,44835,373
    NUNOEarly 13,026 · E-day 7,33720,363
    KELSEYEarly 830 · E-day 8821,712
  • BURLESON6,655 total
    MCCAULEarly 3,246 · E-day 2,2235,469
    NUNOEarly 676 · E-day 4111,087
    KELSEYEarly 48 · E-day 5199
  • COLORADO7,465 total
    MCCAULEarly 3,804 · E-day 2,2666,070
    NUNOEarly 862 · E-day 4271,289
    KELSEYEarly 55 · E-day 51106
  • FAYETTE10,360 total
    MCCAULEarly 4,383 · E-day 4,2618,644
    NUNOEarly 979 · E-day 5901,569
    KELSEYEarly 63 · E-day 84147
  • GRIMES9,387 total
    MCCAULEarly 4,162 · E-day 3,4327,594
    NUNOEarly 948 · E-day 6971,645
    KELSEYEarly 52 · E-day 96148
  • LEE6,220 total
    MCCAULEarly 2,915 · E-day 2,2125,127
    NUNOEarly 613 · E-day 379992
    KELSEYEarly 49 · E-day 52101
  • MADISON3,864 total
    MCCAULEarly 1,730 · E-day 1,5123,242
    NUNOEarly 313 · E-day 247560
    KELSEYEarly 31 · E-day 3162
  • TRAVIS76,074 total
    MCCAULEarly 27,708 · E-day 12,04639,754
    NUNOEarly 26,057 · E-day 8,25134,308
    KELSEYEarly 1,195 · E-day 8172,012
  • WALLER16,560 total
    MCCAULEarly 8,047 · E-day 3,44011,487
    NUNOEarly 3,070 · E-day 1,6694,739
    KELSEYEarly 199 · E-day 135334
  • WASHINGTON13,832 total
    MCCAULEarly 7,866 · E-day 3,26311,129
    NUNOEarly 1,787 · E-day 6822,469
    KELSEYEarly 140 · E-day 94234
  • WILLIAMSON17,394 total
    MCCAULEarly 5,397 · E-day 1,9757,372
    NUNOEarly 7,620 · E-day 1,8899,509
    KELSEYEarly 300 · E-day 213513