U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 21

13
Final Results·330,081 ballots cast
CHIP ROYI
62.8%207,426
CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA
37.2%122,655
Early vote vs Election Day

CHIP ROY gained 6.9 percentage points on Election Day.

CHIP ROY+6.9pp on E-day
Early 149,488 (72.1%)E-day 57,938 (27.9%)
CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA-6.9pp on E-day
Early 95,302 (77.7%)E-day 27,353 (22.3%)
Race totals330,081 ballots
Early 244,790 (74.2%)E-day 85,291 (25.8%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: 22,267 votes · CHIP ROY 79.5% (17,712) · CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA 20.5% (4,555) · 13,157 net for leaderRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: 10,440 votes · CHIP ROY 82.4% (8,603) · CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA 17.6% (1,837) · 6,766 net for leaderHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: 121,598 votes · CHIP ROY 50.7% (61,679) · CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA 49.3% (59,919) · 1,760 net for leaderUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: 66,586 votes · CHIP ROY 75.4% (50,210) · CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA 24.6% (16,376) · 33,834 net for leaderAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: 22,384 votes · CHIP ROY 80.2% (17,944) · CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA 19.8% (4,440) · 13,504 net for leaderWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: no dataMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: 1,556 votes · CHIP ROY 86.3% (1,343) · CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA 13.7% (213) · 1,130 net for leaderCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: 53,178 votes · CHIP ROY 54.0% (28,734) · CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA 46.0% (24,444) · 4,290 net for leaderMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: 13,269 votes · CHIP ROY 82.1% (10,893) · CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA 17.9% (2,376) · 8,517 net for leaderKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: 6,728 votes · CHIP ROY 76.9% (5,172) · CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA 23.1% (1,556) · 3,616 net for leaderNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: 12,075 votes · CHIP ROY 42.5% (5,136) · CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA 57.5% (6,939) · 1,803 net for leaderHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (13)
  • Underperform5.2
    TRAVIS
    CHIP ROY's margin -14.9pp vs statewide +25.7pp
  • Underperform4.8
    BEXAR
    CHIP ROY's margin +1.4pp vs statewide +25.7pp
  • Landslide4.8
    KENDALL
    CHIP ROY won by +60.3pp vs statewide +25.7pp
  • Landslide4.6
    KERR
    CHIP ROY won by +59.1pp vs statewide +25.7pp
  • Landslide4.1
    GILLESPIE
    CHIP ROY won by +64.2pp vs statewide +25.7pp
  • Landslide3.7
    BANDERA
    CHIP ROY won by +64.8pp vs statewide +25.7pp
  • Underperform3.5
    HAYS
    CHIP ROY's margin +8.1pp vs statewide +25.7pp
  • Crossover2.9
    BEXAR
    CHIP ROY (REP) won a county with 43.8% REP lean
  • Mid-race flip1.9
    TRAVIS
    CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA led early (60.5%); CHIP ROY won E-day (50.3%)
  • Swing outlier1.8
    TRAVIS
    CHIP ROY shifted +10.8pp early→E-day vs +5.3pp statewide (2.4σ outlier)
  • Landslide1.7
    REAL
    CHIP ROY won by +72.6pp vs statewide +25.7pp
  • Crossover1.5
    HAYS
    CHIP ROY (REP) won a county with 46.7% REP lean
  • Mid-race flip1.2
    BEXAR
    CLAUDIA ANDREANA ZAPATA led early (50.4%); CHIP ROY won E-day (54.2%)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • BANDERA10,440 total
    ROYEarly 6,045 · E-day 2,5588,603
    ZAPATAEarly 1,339 · E-day 4981,837
  • BEXAR121,598 total
    ROYEarly 46,037 · E-day 15,64261,679
    ZAPATAEarly 46,698 · E-day 13,22159,919
  • BLANCO6,728 total
    ROYEarly 3,616 · E-day 1,5565,172
    ZAPATAEarly 1,234 · E-day 3221,556
  • COMAL66,586 total
    ROYEarly 36,009 · E-day 14,20150,210
    ZAPATAEarly 12,515 · E-day 3,86116,376
  • GILLESPIE13,269 total
    ROYEarly 7,553 · E-day 3,34010,893
    ZAPATAEarly 1,852 · E-day 5242,376
  • HAYS53,178 total
    ROYEarly 21,339 · E-day 7,39528,734
    ZAPATAEarly 19,713 · E-day 4,73124,444
  • KENDALL22,384 total
    ROYEarly 12,359 · E-day 5,58517,944
    ZAPATAEarly 3,294 · E-day 1,1464,440
  • KERR22,267 total
    ROYEarly 12,234 · E-day 5,47817,712
    ZAPATAEarly 3,267 · E-day 1,2884,555
  • REAL1,556 total
    ROYEarly 867 · E-day 4761,343
    ZAPATAEarly 140 · E-day 73213
  • TRAVIS12,075 total
    ROYEarly 3,429 · E-day 1,7075,136
    ZAPATAEarly 5,250 · E-day 1,6896,939