U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 22

4
Final Results·241,215 ballots cast
TROY E. NEHLSI
62.2%150,014
JAMIE KAYE JORDAN
35.5%85,653
JOSEPH LEBLANC
2.2%5,378
JIM SQUIRES
0.1%170
Early vote vs Election Day

JOSEPH LEBLANC gained 1.2 percentage points on Election Day.

TROY E. NEHLS-1.1pp on E-day
Early 113,449 (75.6%)E-day 36,565 (24.4%)
JAMIE KAYE JORDAN-0.0pp on E-day
Early 64,508 (75.3%)E-day 21,145 (24.7%)
JOSEPH LEBLANC+1.2pp on E-day
Early 3,509 (65.2%)E-day 1,869 (34.8%)
JIM SQUIRES-0.1pp on E-day
Early 156 (91.8%)E-day 14 (8.2%)
Race totals241,215 ballots
Early 181,622 (75.3%)E-day 59,593 (24.7%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: 156,754 votes · TROY E. NEHLS 60.5% (94,875) · JAMIE KAYE JORDAN 37.3% (58,392) · JOSEPH LEBLANC 2.1% (3,361) · JIM SQUIRES 0.1% (126) · 36,483 net for leaderParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: 12,057 votes · TROY E. NEHLS 77.5% (9,346) · JAMIE KAYE JORDAN 21.3% (2,571) · JOSEPH LEBLANC 1.1% (137) · JIM SQUIRES 0.0% (3) · 6,775 net for leaderFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: no dataMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: 21,463 votes · TROY E. NEHLS 60.1% (12,906) · JAMIE KAYE JORDAN 37.0% (7,950) · JOSEPH LEBLANC 2.8% (592) · JIM SQUIRES 0.1% (15) · 4,956 net for leaderDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: 41,331 votes · TROY E. NEHLS 61.9% (25,589) · JAMIE KAYE JORDAN 35.3% (14,597) · JOSEPH LEBLANC 2.7% (1,119) · JIM SQUIRES 0.1% (26) · 10,992 net for leaderThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: 9,610 votes · TROY E. NEHLS 75.9% (7,298) · JAMIE KAYE JORDAN 22.3% (2,143) · JOSEPH LEBLANC 1.8% (169) · 5,155 net for leaderHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (4)
  • Swing outlier2.1
    MATAGORDA
    TROY E. NEHLS shifted +2.5pp early→E-day vs -1.6pp statewide (3.1σ outlier)
  • Swing outlier2.0
    WHARTON
    TROY E. NEHLS shifted -5.1pp early→E-day vs -1.6pp statewide (2.6σ outlier)
  • Crossover1.3
    HARRIS
    TROY E. NEHLS (REP) won a county with 46.7% REP lean
  • Crossover0.3
    FORT BEND
    TROY E. NEHLS (REP) won a county with 49.3% REP lean

County results — early vs Election Day

  • BRAZORIA41,331 total
    NEHLSEarly 19,328 · E-day 6,26125,589
    JORDANEarly 10,900 · E-day 3,69714,597
    LEBLANCEarly 689 · E-day 4301,119
    SQUIRESEarly 22 · E-day 426
  • FORT BEND156,754 total
    NEHLSEarly 73,062 · E-day 21,81394,875
    JORDANEarly 44,731 · E-day 13,66158,392
    LEBLANCEarly 2,277 · E-day 1,0843,361
    SQUIRESEarly 118 · E-day 8126
  • HARRIS21,463 total
    NEHLSEarly 9,455 · E-day 3,45112,906
    JORDANEarly 5,641 · E-day 2,3097,950
    LEBLANCEarly 372 · E-day 220592
    SQUIRESEarly 14 · E-day 115
  • MATAGORDA9,610 total
    NEHLSEarly 4,634 · E-day 2,6647,298
    JORDANEarly 1,445 · E-day 6982,143
    LEBLANCEarly 97 · E-day 72169
    SQUIRESEarly 0 · E-day 00
  • WHARTON12,057 total
    NEHLSEarly 6,970 · E-day 2,3769,346
    JORDANEarly 1,791 · E-day 7802,571
    LEBLANCEarly 74 · E-day 63137
    SQUIRESEarly 2 · E-day 13