U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 30
⚠ 3
Final Results·180,513 ballots cast
JASMINE CROCKETT
74.7%134,876
JAMES RODGERS
21.7%39,209
ZACHARIAH MANNING
2.1%3,820
PHIL GRAY
1.0%1,870
DEBBIE WALKER
0.4%738
Early vote vs Election Day
JAMES RODGERS gained 5.7 percentage points on Election Day.
JASMINE CROCKETT-6.2pp on E-day
Early 92,966 (68.9%)E-day 41,910 (31.1%)
JAMES RODGERS+5.7pp on E-day
Early 24,036 (61.3%)E-day 15,173 (38.7%)
ZACHARIAH MANNING-0.1pp on E-day
Early 2,595 (67.9%)E-day 1,225 (32.1%)
PHIL GRAY+0.7pp on E-day
Early 960 (51.3%)E-day 910 (48.7%)
DEBBIE WALKER-0.1pp on E-day
Early 536 (72.6%)E-day 202 (27.4%)
Race totals180,513 ballots
Early 121,093 (67.1%)E-day 59,420 (32.9%)
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (3)
- Swing outlier2.8TARRANTJASMINE CROCKETT shifted -4.7pp early→E-day vs -6.3pp statewide (3.5σ outlier)
- Underperform2.3TARRANTJASMINE CROCKETT's margin +35.9pp vs statewide +53.0pp
- Crossover1.2TARRANTJASMINE CROCKETT (DEM) won a county with 53.8% REP lean
County results — early vs Election Day
| County | CROCKETT | RODGERS | MANNING | GRAY | WALKER | Total | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | ||
| DALLAS | 86,704 | 39,227 | 125,931 | 21,291 | 13,776 | 35,067 | 2,518 | 1,153 | 3,671 | 888 | 848 | 1,736 | 534 | 202 | 736 | 167,141 |
| TARRANT | 6,262 | 2,683 | 8,945 | 2,745 | 1,397 | 4,142 | 77 | 72 | 149 | 72 | 62 | 134 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13,372 |
- DALLAS167,141 totalCROCKETTEarly 86,704 · E-day 39,227125,931RODGERSEarly 21,291 · E-day 13,77635,067MANNINGEarly 2,518 · E-day 1,1533,671GRAYEarly 888 · E-day 8481,736WALKEREarly 534 · E-day 202736
- TARRANT13,372 totalCROCKETTEarly 6,262 · E-day 2,6838,945RODGERSEarly 2,745 · E-day 1,3974,142MANNINGEarly 77 · E-day 72149GRAYEarly 72 · E-day 62134WALKEREarly 2 · E-day 02