U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 30

3
Final Results·180,513 ballots cast
JASMINE CROCKETT
74.7%134,876
JAMES RODGERS
21.7%39,209
ZACHARIAH MANNING
2.1%3,820
PHIL GRAY
1.0%1,870
DEBBIE WALKER
0.4%738
Early vote vs Election Day

JAMES RODGERS gained 5.7 percentage points on Election Day.

JASMINE CROCKETT-6.2pp on E-day
Early 92,966 (68.9%)E-day 41,910 (31.1%)
JAMES RODGERS+5.7pp on E-day
Early 24,036 (61.3%)E-day 15,173 (38.7%)
ZACHARIAH MANNING-0.1pp on E-day
Early 2,595 (67.9%)E-day 1,225 (32.1%)
PHIL GRAY+0.7pp on E-day
Early 960 (51.3%)E-day 910 (48.7%)
DEBBIE WALKER-0.1pp on E-day
Early 536 (72.6%)E-day 202 (27.4%)
Race totals180,513 ballots
Early 121,093 (67.1%)E-day 59,420 (32.9%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: no dataMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: 13,372 votes · JASMINE CROCKETT 66.9% (8,945) · JAMES RODGERS 31.0% (4,142) · ZACHARIAH MANNING 1.1% (149) · PHIL GRAY 1.0% (134) · DEBBIE WALKER 0.0% (2) · 4,803 net for leaderJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: 167,141 votes · JASMINE CROCKETT 75.3% (125,931) · JAMES RODGERS 21.0% (35,067) · ZACHARIAH MANNING 2.2% (3,671) · PHIL GRAY 1.0% (1,736) · DEBBIE WALKER 0.4% (736) · 90,864 net for leaderKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (3)
  • Swing outlier2.8
    TARRANT
    JASMINE CROCKETT shifted -4.7pp early→E-day vs -6.3pp statewide (3.5σ outlier)
  • Underperform2.3
    TARRANT
    JASMINE CROCKETT's margin +35.9pp vs statewide +53.0pp
  • Crossover1.2
    TARRANT
    JASMINE CROCKETT (DEM) won a county with 53.8% REP lean

County results — early vs Election Day

  • DALLAS167,141 total
    CROCKETTEarly 86,704 · E-day 39,227125,931
    RODGERSEarly 21,291 · E-day 13,77635,067
    MANNINGEarly 2,518 · E-day 1,1533,671
    GRAYEarly 888 · E-day 8481,736
    WALKEREarly 534 · E-day 202736
  • TARRANT13,372 total
    CROCKETTEarly 6,262 · E-day 2,6838,945
    RODGERSEarly 2,745 · E-day 1,3974,142
    MANNINGEarly 77 · E-day 72149
    GRAYEarly 72 · E-day 62134
    WALKEREarly 2 · E-day 02