JUSTICE, 3RD COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 4

27
Final Results·1,062,086 ballots cast
ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS
52.6%558,955
LESLI R. FITZPATRICK
47.4%503,131
Early vote vs Election Day

LESLI R. FITZPATRICK gained 8.5 percentage points on Election Day.

ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS-8.5pp on E-day
Early 415,706 (74.4%)E-day 143,249 (25.6%)
LESLI R. FITZPATRICK+8.5pp on E-day
Early 338,812 (67.3%)E-day 164,319 (32.7%)
Race totals1,062,086 ballots
Early 754,518 (71.0%)E-day 307,568 (29.0%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: 86,076 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 61.0% (52,512) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 39.0% (33,564) · 18,948 net for leaderBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: 949 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 81.3% (772) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 18.7% (177) · 595 net for leaderGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: 10,229 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 84.4% (8,631) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 15.6% (1,598) · 7,033 net for leaderBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: 2,077 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 91.5% (1,901) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 8.5% (176) · 1,725 net for leaderOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: 73,648 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 75.3% (55,465) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 24.7% (18,183) · 37,282 net for leaderAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: no dataMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: 11,070 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 57.5% (6,368) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 42.5% (4,702) · 1,666 net for leaderParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: 87,307 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 46.4% (40,478) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 53.6% (46,829) · 6,351 net for leaderMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: 441 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 94.3% (416) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 5.7% (25) · 391 net for leaderWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: 20,795 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 80.0% (16,633) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 20.0% (4,162) · 12,471 net for leaderGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: 218,472 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 52.2% (114,054) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 47.8% (104,418) · 9,636 net for leaderCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: 685 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 89.5% (613) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 10.5% (72) · 541 net for leaderNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: 925 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 87.7% (811) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 12.3% (114) · 697 net for leaderCoke: 1,358 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 91.7% (1,245) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 8.3% (113) · 1,132 net for leaderPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: 6,113 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 82.6% (5,052) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 17.4% (1,061) · 3,991 net for leaderCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: 8,232 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 81.7% (6,726) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 18.3% (1,506) · 5,220 net for leaderReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: 3,177 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 90.9% (2,889) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 9.1% (288) · 2,601 net for leaderTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: 28,421 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 59.1% (16,802) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 40.9% (11,619) · 5,183 net for leaderScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: 2,520 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 87.5% (2,206) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 12.5% (314) · 1,892 net for leaderCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: 31,222 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 76.4% (23,858) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 23.6% (7,364) · 16,494 net for leaderYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: 8,083 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 81.9% (6,621) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 18.1% (1,462) · 5,159 net for leaderUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: 6,660 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 77.5% (5,163) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 22.5% (1,497) · 3,666 net for leaderNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: 10,851 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 83.2% (9,024) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 16.8% (1,827) · 7,197 net for leaderMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: 442,775 votes · LESLI R. FITZPATRICK 28.2% (124,891) · ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS 71.8% (317,884) · 192,993 net for leaderHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / max county margin)
Noted (27)
  • Underperform10.0
    BURNET
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -60.0pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform10.0
    COMAL
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -50.6pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform10.0
    TOM GREEN
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -52.8pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform8.6
    FAYETTE
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -68.8pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform8.6
    LLANO
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -66.3pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform7.2
    MILAM
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -63.4pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform7.2
    LAMPASAS
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -63.8pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform6.4
    LEE
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -65.3pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Landslide6.1
    TRAVIS
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS won by +43.6pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform5.7
    BLANCO
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -55.0pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform5.7
    RUNNELS
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -81.9pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform5.5
    BELL
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -22.0pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform4.7
    MCCULLOCH
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -75.1pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform4.6
    MILLS
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -83.1pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform4.6
    BASTROP
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -18.2pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform3.8
    COKE
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -83.4pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Swing outlier3.6
    TOM GREEN
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS shifted -0.9pp early→E-day vs -7.0pp statewide (3.0σ outlier)
  • Underperform2.8
    CONCHO
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -75.4pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform2.5
    IRION
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -79.0pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform2.5
    CALDWELL
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -15.0pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Underperform2.4
    SCHLEICHER
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -62.7pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Swing outlier2.4
    BASTROP
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS shifted -11.1pp early→E-day vs -7.0pp statewide (2.0σ outlier)
  • Underperform2.3
    STERLING
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS's margin -88.7pp vs statewide +5.3pp
  • Swing outlier1.9
    MILAM
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS shifted -0.9pp early→E-day vs -7.0pp statewide (3.0σ outlier)
  • Mid-race flip1.4
    HAYS
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS led early (55.1%); LESLI R. FITZPATRICK won E-day (50.6%)
  • Swing outlier1.3
    LAMPASAS
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS shifted -2.8pp early→E-day vs -7.0pp statewide (2.1σ outlier)
  • Swing outlier1.1
    LEE
    ROSA LOPEZ THEOFANIS shifted -2.8pp early→E-day vs -7.0pp statewide (2.1σ outlier)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • BASTROP28,421 total
    THEOFANISEarly 8,628 · E-day 2,99111,619
    FITZPATRICKEarly 10,811 · E-day 5,99116,802
  • BELL86,076 total
    THEOFANISEarly 23,244 · E-day 10,32033,564
    FITZPATRICKEarly 33,573 · E-day 18,93952,512
  • BLANCO6,660 total
    THEOFANISEarly 1,186 · E-day 3111,497
    FITZPATRICKEarly 3,608 · E-day 1,5555,163
  • BURNET20,795 total
    THEOFANISEarly 3,012 · E-day 1,1504,162
    FITZPATRICKEarly 10,987 · E-day 5,64616,633
  • CALDWELL11,070 total
    THEOFANISEarly 3,256 · E-day 1,4464,702
    FITZPATRICKEarly 4,221 · E-day 2,1476,368
  • COKE1,358 total
    THEOFANISEarly 64 · E-day 49113
    FITZPATRICKEarly 674 · E-day 5711,245
  • COMAL73,648 total
    THEOFANISEarly 13,715 · E-day 4,46818,183
    FITZPATRICKEarly 39,388 · E-day 16,07755,465
  • CONCHO925 total
    THEOFANISEarly 50 · E-day 64114
    FITZPATRICKEarly 362 · E-day 449811
  • FAYETTE10,229 total
    THEOFANISEarly 993 · E-day 6051,598
    FITZPATRICKEarly 4,366 · E-day 4,2658,631
  • HAYS87,307 total
    THEOFANISEarly 35,583 · E-day 11,24646,829
    FITZPATRICKEarly 28,947 · E-day 11,53140,478
  • IRION685 total
    THEOFANISEarly 43 · E-day 2972
    FITZPATRICKEarly 328 · E-day 285613
  • LAMPASAS8,083 total
    THEOFANISEarly 982 · E-day 4801,462
    FITZPATRICKEarly 4,160 · E-day 2,4616,621
  • LEE6,113 total
    THEOFANISEarly 653 · E-day 4081,061
    FITZPATRICKEarly 2,869 · E-day 2,1835,052
  • LLANO10,851 total
    THEOFANISEarly 1,448 · E-day 3791,827
    FITZPATRICKEarly 6,741 · E-day 2,2839,024
  • MCCULLOCH2,520 total
    THEOFANISEarly 203 · E-day 111314
    FITZPATRICKEarly 1,248 · E-day 9582,206
  • MILAM8,232 total
    THEOFANISEarly 1,061 · E-day 4451,506
    FITZPATRICKEarly 4,656 · E-day 2,0706,726
  • MILLS2,077 total
    THEOFANISEarly 122 · E-day 54176
    FITZPATRICKEarly 1,210 · E-day 6911,901
  • RUNNELS3,177 total
    THEOFANISEarly 115 · E-day 173288
    FITZPATRICKEarly 1,417 · E-day 1,4722,889
  • SAN SABA0 total
    THEOFANISEarly 0 · E-day 00
    FITZPATRICKEarly 0 · E-day 00
  • SCHLEICHER949 total
    THEOFANISEarly 120 · E-day 57177
    FITZPATRICKEarly 531 · E-day 241772
  • STERLING441 total
    THEOFANISEarly 13 · E-day 1225
    FITZPATRICKEarly 234 · E-day 182416
  • TOM GREEN31,222 total
    THEOFANISEarly 4,856 · E-day 2,5087,364
    FITZPATRICKEarly 15,476 · E-day 8,38223,858
  • TRAVIS442,775 total
    THEOFANISEarly 236,336 · E-day 81,548317,884
    FITZPATRICKEarly 82,850 · E-day 42,041124,891
  • WILLIAMSON218,472 total
    THEOFANISEarly 80,023 · E-day 24,395104,418
    FITZPATRICKEarly 80,155 · E-day 33,899114,054