JUSTICE, 4TH COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 7 - UNEXPIRED TERM
⚠ 33
Final Results·810,347 ballots cast
LORI I. VALENZUELAI
50.6%409,842
REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO
49.4%400,505
Early vote vs Election Day
LORI I. VALENZUELA gained 4.3 percentage points on Election Day.
LORI I. VALENZUELA+4.3pp on E-day
Early 281,408 (68.7%)E-day 128,434 (31.3%)
REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO-4.3pp on E-day
Early 289,409 (72.3%)E-day 111,096 (27.7%)
Race totals810,347 ballots
Early 570,817 (70.4%)E-day 239,530 (29.6%)
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (33)
- Underperform8.8WEBBLORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -42.6pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide8.3KENDALLLORI I. VALENZUELA won by +61.7pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide8.0KERRLORI I. VALENZUELA won by +59.4pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide7.0WILSONLORI I. VALENZUELA won by +55.7pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide6.7GILLESPIELORI I. VALENZUELA won by +65.1pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide6.1BANDERALORI I. VALENZUELA won by +65.7pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide5.7MEDINALORI I. VALENZUELA won by +48.8pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide5.1GUADALUPELORI I. VALENZUELA won by +33.1pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide4.0ATASCOSALORI I. VALENZUELA won by +40.3pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Swing outlier3.7UVALDELORI I. VALENZUELA shifted +11.8pp early→E-day vs +3.5pp statewide (6.1σ outlier)
- Swing outlier3.6MEDINALORI I. VALENZUELA shifted -1.9pp early→E-day vs +3.5pp statewide (4.0σ outlier)
- Landslide3.2KARNESLORI I. VALENZUELA won by +57.7pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide3.1KIMBLELORI I. VALENZUELA won by +80.7pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Underperform3.1MAVERICKLORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -27.0pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide2.7MASONLORI I. VALENZUELA won by +66.2pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide2.6REALLORI I. VALENZUELA won by +72.2pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Underperform2.2STARRLORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -20.3pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Underperform2.2ZAVALALORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -39.4pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide2.1SUTTONLORI I. VALENZUELA won by +69.3pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide1.9EDWARDSLORI I. VALENZUELA won by +76.2pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Underperform1.9DIMMITLORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -32.0pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Underperform1.8DUVALLORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -27.1pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide1.8MENARDLORI I. VALENZUELA won by +70.5pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Underperform1.8ZAPATALORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -27.3pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Swing outlier1.8ATASCOSALORI I. VALENZUELA shifted +0.4pp early→E-day vs +3.5pp statewide (2.3σ outlier)
- Underperform1.7BROOKSLORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -33.0pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Underperform1.7JIM HOGGLORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -39.0pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide1.6KINNEYLORI I. VALENZUELA won by +52.2pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Landslide1.4MCMULLENLORI I. VALENZUELA won by +84.4pp vs statewide +1.2pp
- Swing outlier1.4MAVERICKLORI I. VALENZUELA shifted +6.4pp early→E-day vs +3.5pp statewide (2.1σ outlier)
- Crossover0.9JIM WELLSREBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO (DEM) won a county with 53.4% REP lean
- Mid-race flip0.2FRIOREBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO led early (53.8%); LORI I. VALENZUELA won E-day (55.7%)
- Mid-race flip0.0JIM WELLSREBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO led early (51.7%); LORI I. VALENZUELA won E-day (51.5%)
County results — early vs Election Day
| County | VALENZUELA | PALOMO | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | ||
| ATASCOSA | 5,275 | 3,358 | 8,633 | 2,262 | 1,415 | 3,677 | 12,310 |
| BANDERA | 6,003 | 2,548 | 8,551 | 1,305 | 465 | 1,770 | 10,321 |
| BEXAR | 163,259 | 67,567 | 230,826 | 213,942 | 76,658 | 290,600 | 521,426 |
| BROOKS | 353 | 261 | 614 | 717 | 501 | 1,218 | 1,832 |
| DIMMIT | 430 | 432 | 862 | 961 | 712 | 1,673 | 2,535 |
| DUVAL | 717 | 438 | 1,155 | 1,422 | 591 | 2,013 | 3,168 |
| EDWARDS | 395 | 294 | 689 | 55 | 38 | 93 | 782 |
| FRIO | 758 | 934 | 1,692 | 884 | 744 | 1,628 | 3,320 |
| GILLESPIE | 7,479 | 3,291 | 10,770 | 1,777 | 503 | 2,280 | 13,050 |
| GUADALUPE | 25,033 | 11,944 | 36,977 | 13,112 | 5,482 | 18,594 | 55,571 |
| JIM HOGG | 242 | 158 | 400 | 605 | 307 | 912 | 1,312 |
| JIM WELLS | 2,726 | 1,823 | 4,549 | 2,914 | 1,718 | 4,632 | 9,181 |
| KARNES | 1,401 | 1,491 | 2,892 | 421 | 354 | 775 | 3,667 |
| KENDALL | 12,326 | 5,557 | 17,883 | 3,136 | 1,093 | 4,229 | 22,112 |
| KERR | 12,150 | 5,406 | 17,556 | 3,190 | 1,275 | 4,465 | 22,021 |
| KIMBLE | 1,016 | 630 | 1,646 | 120 | 56 | 176 | 1,822 |
| KINNEY | 632 | 212 | 844 | 189 | 76 | 265 | 1,109 |
| LASALLE | 329 | 342 | 671 | 304 | 314 | 618 | 1,289 |
| MASON | 1,179 | 476 | 1,655 | 250 | 86 | 336 | 1,991 |
| MAVERICK | 2,087 | 1,130 | 3,217 | 3,963 | 1,635 | 5,598 | 8,815 |
| MCMULLEN | 176 | 144 | 320 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 347 |
| MEDINA | 9,066 | 3,597 | 12,663 | 3,025 | 1,327 | 4,352 | 17,015 |
| MENARD | 460 | 182 | 642 | 62 | 49 | 111 | 753 |
| REAL | 853 | 465 | 1,318 | 136 | 77 | 213 | 1,531 |
| STARR | 2,174 | 1,044 | 3,218 | 3,484 | 1,377 | 4,861 | 8,079 |
| SUTTON | 702 | 242 | 944 | 119 | 52 | 171 | 1,115 |
| UVALDE | 2,837 | 1,850 | 4,687 | 2,155 | 847 | 3,002 | 7,689 |
| VAL VERDE | 3,562 | 1,528 | 5,090 | 2,900 | 1,055 | 3,955 | 9,045 |
| WEBB | 7,999 | 4,368 | 12,367 | 21,050 | 9,702 | 30,752 | 43,119 |
| WILSON | 8,764 | 6,067 | 14,831 | 2,771 | 1,443 | 4,214 | 19,045 |
| ZAPATA | 708 | 327 | 1,035 | 1,286 | 527 | 1,813 | 2,848 |
| ZAVALA | 317 | 328 | 645 | 878 | 604 | 1,482 | 2,127 |
- ATASCOSA12,310 totalVALENZUELAEarly 5,275 · E-day 3,3588,633PALOMOEarly 2,262 · E-day 1,4153,677
- BANDERA10,321 totalVALENZUELAEarly 6,003 · E-day 2,5488,551PALOMOEarly 1,305 · E-day 4651,770
- BEXAR521,426 totalVALENZUELAEarly 163,259 · E-day 67,567230,826PALOMOEarly 213,942 · E-day 76,658290,600
- BROOKS1,832 totalVALENZUELAEarly 353 · E-day 261614PALOMOEarly 717 · E-day 5011,218
- DIMMIT2,535 totalVALENZUELAEarly 430 · E-day 432862PALOMOEarly 961 · E-day 7121,673
- DUVAL3,168 totalVALENZUELAEarly 717 · E-day 4381,155PALOMOEarly 1,422 · E-day 5912,013
- EDWARDS782 totalVALENZUELAEarly 395 · E-day 294689PALOMOEarly 55 · E-day 3893
- FRIO3,320 totalVALENZUELAEarly 758 · E-day 9341,692PALOMOEarly 884 · E-day 7441,628
- GILLESPIE13,050 totalVALENZUELAEarly 7,479 · E-day 3,29110,770PALOMOEarly 1,777 · E-day 5032,280
- GUADALUPE55,571 totalVALENZUELAEarly 25,033 · E-day 11,94436,977PALOMOEarly 13,112 · E-day 5,48218,594
- JIM HOGG1,312 totalVALENZUELAEarly 242 · E-day 158400PALOMOEarly 605 · E-day 307912
- JIM WELLS9,181 totalVALENZUELAEarly 2,726 · E-day 1,8234,549PALOMOEarly 2,914 · E-day 1,7184,632
- KARNES3,667 totalVALENZUELAEarly 1,401 · E-day 1,4912,892PALOMOEarly 421 · E-day 354775
- KENDALL22,112 totalVALENZUELAEarly 12,326 · E-day 5,55717,883PALOMOEarly 3,136 · E-day 1,0934,229
- KERR22,021 totalVALENZUELAEarly 12,150 · E-day 5,40617,556PALOMOEarly 3,190 · E-day 1,2754,465
- KIMBLE1,822 totalVALENZUELAEarly 1,016 · E-day 6301,646PALOMOEarly 120 · E-day 56176
- KINNEY1,109 totalVALENZUELAEarly 632 · E-day 212844PALOMOEarly 189 · E-day 76265
- LASALLE1,289 totalVALENZUELAEarly 329 · E-day 342671PALOMOEarly 304 · E-day 314618
- MASON1,991 totalVALENZUELAEarly 1,179 · E-day 4761,655PALOMOEarly 250 · E-day 86336
- MAVERICK8,815 totalVALENZUELAEarly 2,087 · E-day 1,1303,217PALOMOEarly 3,963 · E-day 1,6355,598
- MCMULLEN347 totalVALENZUELAEarly 176 · E-day 144320PALOMOEarly 14 · E-day 1327
- MEDINA17,015 totalVALENZUELAEarly 9,066 · E-day 3,59712,663PALOMOEarly 3,025 · E-day 1,3274,352
- MENARD753 totalVALENZUELAEarly 460 · E-day 182642PALOMOEarly 62 · E-day 49111
- REAL1,531 totalVALENZUELAEarly 853 · E-day 4651,318PALOMOEarly 136 · E-day 77213
- STARR8,079 totalVALENZUELAEarly 2,174 · E-day 1,0443,218PALOMOEarly 3,484 · E-day 1,3774,861
- SUTTON1,115 totalVALENZUELAEarly 702 · E-day 242944PALOMOEarly 119 · E-day 52171
- UVALDE7,689 totalVALENZUELAEarly 2,837 · E-day 1,8504,687PALOMOEarly 2,155 · E-day 8473,002
- VAL VERDE9,045 totalVALENZUELAEarly 3,562 · E-day 1,5285,090PALOMOEarly 2,900 · E-day 1,0553,955
- WEBB43,119 totalVALENZUELAEarly 7,999 · E-day 4,36812,367PALOMOEarly 21,050 · E-day 9,70230,752
- WILSON19,045 totalVALENZUELAEarly 8,764 · E-day 6,06714,831PALOMOEarly 2,771 · E-day 1,4434,214
- ZAPATA2,848 totalVALENZUELAEarly 708 · E-day 3271,035PALOMOEarly 1,286 · E-day 5271,813
- ZAVALA2,127 totalVALENZUELAEarly 317 · E-day 328645PALOMOEarly 878 · E-day 6041,482