JUSTICE, 4TH COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 7 - UNEXPIRED TERM

33
Final Results·810,347 ballots cast
LORI I. VALENZUELAI
50.6%409,842
REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO
49.4%400,505
Early vote vs Election Day

LORI I. VALENZUELA gained 4.3 percentage points on Election Day.

LORI I. VALENZUELA+4.3pp on E-day
Early 281,408 (68.7%)E-day 128,434 (31.3%)
REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO-4.3pp on E-day
Early 289,409 (72.3%)E-day 111,096 (27.7%)
Race totals810,347 ballots
Early 570,817 (70.4%)E-day 239,530 (29.6%)
Menard: 753 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 85.3% (642) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 14.7% (111) · 531 net for leaderHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: 22,021 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 79.7% (17,556) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 20.3% (4,465) · 13,091 net for leaderRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: 1,312 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 30.5% (400) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 69.5% (912) · 512 net for leaderDimmit: 2,535 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 34.0% (862) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 66.0% (1,673) · 811 net for leaderNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: 10,321 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 82.9% (8,551) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 17.1% (1,770) · 6,781 net for leaderHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: 2,127 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 30.3% (645) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 69.7% (1,482) · 837 net for leaderRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: 347 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 92.2% (320) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 7.8% (27) · 293 net for leaderSutton: 1,115 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 84.7% (944) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 15.3% (171) · 773 net for leaderFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: 1,109 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 76.1% (844) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 23.9% (265) · 579 net for leaderFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: 521,426 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 44.3% (230,826) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 55.7% (290,600) · 59,774 net for leaderUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: 22,112 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 80.9% (17,883) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 19.1% (4,229) · 13,654 net for leaderWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: 3,667 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 78.9% (2,892) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 21.1% (775) · 2,117 net for leaderKaufman: no dataDuval: 3,168 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 36.5% (1,155) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 63.5% (2,013) · 858 net for leaderJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: 782 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 88.1% (689) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 11.9% (93) · 596 net for leaderWaller: no dataMaverick: 8,815 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 36.5% (3,217) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 63.5% (5,598) · 2,381 net for leaderKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: 1,531 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 86.1% (1,318) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 13.9% (213) · 1,105 net for leaderCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: 17,015 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 74.4% (12,663) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 25.6% (4,352) · 8,311 net for leaderMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: 55,571 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 66.5% (36,977) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 33.5% (18,594) · 18,383 net for leaderTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: 3,320 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 51.0% (1,692) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 49.0% (1,628) · 64 net for leaderLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: 1,832 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 33.5% (614) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 66.5% (1,218) · 604 net for leaderDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: 7,689 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 61.0% (4,687) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 39.0% (3,002) · 1,685 net for leaderBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: 12,310 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 70.1% (8,633) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 29.9% (3,677) · 4,956 net for leaderWilson: 19,045 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 77.9% (14,831) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 22.1% (4,214) · 10,617 net for leaderStarr: 8,079 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 39.8% (3,218) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 60.2% (4,861) · 1,643 net for leaderDallas: no dataKimble: 1,822 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 90.3% (1,646) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 9.7% (176) · 1,470 net for leaderMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: 9,045 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 56.3% (5,090) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 43.7% (3,955) · 1,135 net for leaderSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: 13,050 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 82.5% (10,770) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 17.5% (2,280) · 8,490 net for leaderKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: 43,119 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 28.7% (12,367) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 71.3% (30,752) · 18,385 net for leaderBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: 1,991 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 83.1% (1,655) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 16.9% (336) · 1,319 net for leaderTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: 9,181 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 49.5% (4,549) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 50.5% (4,632) · 83 net for leaderZapata: 2,848 votes · LORI I. VALENZUELA 36.3% (1,035) · REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO 63.7% (1,813) · 778 net for leaderTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (33)
  • Underperform8.8
    WEBB
    LORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -42.6pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide8.3
    KENDALL
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +61.7pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide8.0
    KERR
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +59.4pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide7.0
    WILSON
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +55.7pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide6.7
    GILLESPIE
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +65.1pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide6.1
    BANDERA
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +65.7pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide5.7
    MEDINA
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +48.8pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide5.1
    GUADALUPE
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +33.1pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide4.0
    ATASCOSA
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +40.3pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Swing outlier3.7
    UVALDE
    LORI I. VALENZUELA shifted +11.8pp early→E-day vs +3.5pp statewide (6.1σ outlier)
  • Swing outlier3.6
    MEDINA
    LORI I. VALENZUELA shifted -1.9pp early→E-day vs +3.5pp statewide (4.0σ outlier)
  • Landslide3.2
    KARNES
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +57.7pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide3.1
    KIMBLE
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +80.7pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Underperform3.1
    MAVERICK
    LORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -27.0pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide2.7
    MASON
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +66.2pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide2.6
    REAL
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +72.2pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Underperform2.2
    STARR
    LORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -20.3pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Underperform2.2
    ZAVALA
    LORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -39.4pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide2.1
    SUTTON
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +69.3pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide1.9
    EDWARDS
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +76.2pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Underperform1.9
    DIMMIT
    LORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -32.0pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Underperform1.8
    DUVAL
    LORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -27.1pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide1.8
    MENARD
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +70.5pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Underperform1.8
    ZAPATA
    LORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -27.3pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Swing outlier1.8
    ATASCOSA
    LORI I. VALENZUELA shifted +0.4pp early→E-day vs +3.5pp statewide (2.3σ outlier)
  • Underperform1.7
    BROOKS
    LORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -33.0pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Underperform1.7
    JIM HOGG
    LORI I. VALENZUELA's margin -39.0pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide1.6
    KINNEY
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +52.2pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Landslide1.4
    MCMULLEN
    LORI I. VALENZUELA won by +84.4pp vs statewide +1.2pp
  • Swing outlier1.4
    MAVERICK
    LORI I. VALENZUELA shifted +6.4pp early→E-day vs +3.5pp statewide (2.1σ outlier)
  • Crossover0.9
    JIM WELLS
    REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO (DEM) won a county with 53.4% REP lean
  • Mid-race flip0.2
    FRIO
    REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO led early (53.8%); LORI I. VALENZUELA won E-day (55.7%)
  • Mid-race flip0.0
    JIM WELLS
    REBECCA "BECKIE" PALOMO led early (51.7%); LORI I. VALENZUELA won E-day (51.5%)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • ATASCOSA12,310 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 5,275 · E-day 3,3588,633
    PALOMOEarly 2,262 · E-day 1,4153,677
  • BANDERA10,321 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 6,003 · E-day 2,5488,551
    PALOMOEarly 1,305 · E-day 4651,770
  • BEXAR521,426 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 163,259 · E-day 67,567230,826
    PALOMOEarly 213,942 · E-day 76,658290,600
  • BROOKS1,832 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 353 · E-day 261614
    PALOMOEarly 717 · E-day 5011,218
  • DIMMIT2,535 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 430 · E-day 432862
    PALOMOEarly 961 · E-day 7121,673
  • DUVAL3,168 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 717 · E-day 4381,155
    PALOMOEarly 1,422 · E-day 5912,013
  • EDWARDS782 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 395 · E-day 294689
    PALOMOEarly 55 · E-day 3893
  • FRIO3,320 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 758 · E-day 9341,692
    PALOMOEarly 884 · E-day 7441,628
  • GILLESPIE13,050 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 7,479 · E-day 3,29110,770
    PALOMOEarly 1,777 · E-day 5032,280
  • GUADALUPE55,571 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 25,033 · E-day 11,94436,977
    PALOMOEarly 13,112 · E-day 5,48218,594
  • JIM HOGG1,312 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 242 · E-day 158400
    PALOMOEarly 605 · E-day 307912
  • JIM WELLS9,181 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 2,726 · E-day 1,8234,549
    PALOMOEarly 2,914 · E-day 1,7184,632
  • KARNES3,667 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 1,401 · E-day 1,4912,892
    PALOMOEarly 421 · E-day 354775
  • KENDALL22,112 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 12,326 · E-day 5,55717,883
    PALOMOEarly 3,136 · E-day 1,0934,229
  • KERR22,021 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 12,150 · E-day 5,40617,556
    PALOMOEarly 3,190 · E-day 1,2754,465
  • KIMBLE1,822 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 1,016 · E-day 6301,646
    PALOMOEarly 120 · E-day 56176
  • KINNEY1,109 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 632 · E-day 212844
    PALOMOEarly 189 · E-day 76265
  • LASALLE1,289 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 329 · E-day 342671
    PALOMOEarly 304 · E-day 314618
  • MASON1,991 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 1,179 · E-day 4761,655
    PALOMOEarly 250 · E-day 86336
  • MAVERICK8,815 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 2,087 · E-day 1,1303,217
    PALOMOEarly 3,963 · E-day 1,6355,598
  • MCMULLEN347 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 176 · E-day 144320
    PALOMOEarly 14 · E-day 1327
  • MEDINA17,015 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 9,066 · E-day 3,59712,663
    PALOMOEarly 3,025 · E-day 1,3274,352
  • MENARD753 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 460 · E-day 182642
    PALOMOEarly 62 · E-day 49111
  • REAL1,531 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 853 · E-day 4651,318
    PALOMOEarly 136 · E-day 77213
  • STARR8,079 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 2,174 · E-day 1,0443,218
    PALOMOEarly 3,484 · E-day 1,3774,861
  • SUTTON1,115 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 702 · E-day 242944
    PALOMOEarly 119 · E-day 52171
  • UVALDE7,689 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 2,837 · E-day 1,8504,687
    PALOMOEarly 2,155 · E-day 8473,002
  • VAL VERDE9,045 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 3,562 · E-day 1,5285,090
    PALOMOEarly 2,900 · E-day 1,0553,955
  • WEBB43,119 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 7,999 · E-day 4,36812,367
    PALOMOEarly 21,050 · E-day 9,70230,752
  • WILSON19,045 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 8,764 · E-day 6,06714,831
    PALOMOEarly 2,771 · E-day 1,4434,214
  • ZAPATA2,848 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 708 · E-day 3271,035
    PALOMOEarly 1,286 · E-day 5271,813
  • ZAVALA2,127 total
    VALENZUELAEarly 317 · E-day 328645
    PALOMOEarly 878 · E-day 6041,482