U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 15

1
RepublicanFinal Results·29,788 ballots cast
MONICA DE LA CRUZ
56.5%16,835
MAURO GARZA
15.3%4,544
SARA CANADY
9.2%2,741
RYAN KRAUSE
9.2%2,728
STEVE SCHMUKER JR
3.6%1,064
JOHN C. LERMA
2.2%658
AIZAR CAVAZOS
1.7%504
ANGELA JUAREZ
1.4%416
VANGELA CHURCHILL
1.0%298
Early vote vs Election Day

RYAN KRAUSE gained 4.2 percentage points on Election Day.

MONICA DE LA CRUZ-2.8pp on E-day
Early 9,397 (55.8%)E-day 7,438 (44.2%)
MAURO GARZA-4.2pp on E-day
Early 2,790 (61.4%)E-day 1,754 (38.6%)
SARA CANADY+1.4pp on E-day
Early 1,393 (50.8%)E-day 1,348 (49.2%)
RYAN KRAUSE+4.2pp on E-day
Early 1,180 (43.3%)E-day 1,548 (56.7%)
STEVE SCHMUKER JR+1.6pp on E-day
Early 461 (43.3%)E-day 603 (56.7%)
JOHN C. LERMA-0.0pp on E-day
Early 362 (55.0%)E-day 296 (45.0%)
AIZAR CAVAZOS-0.3pp on E-day
Early 295 (58.5%)E-day 209 (41.5%)
ANGELA JUAREZ+0.1pp on E-day
Early 220 (52.9%)E-day 196 (47.1%)
VANGELA CHURCHILL-0.0pp on E-day
Early 165 (55.4%)E-day 133 (44.6%)
Race totals29,788 ballots
Early 16,263 (54.6%)E-day 13,525 (45.4%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: 10,787 votes · MONICA DE LA CRUZ 67.3% (7,256) · MAURO GARZA 17.7% (1,907) · SARA CANADY 1.3% (139) · RYAN KRAUSE 4.1% (444) · STEVE SCHMUKER JR 1.1% (122) · JOHN C. LERMA 3.1% (337) · AIZAR CAVAZOS 2.7% (290) · ANGELA JUAREZ 1.7% (182) · VANGELA CHURCHILL 1.0% (110) · 5,349 net for leaderSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: 1,737 votes · MONICA DE LA CRUZ 53.8% (935) · MAURO GARZA 9.3% (161) · SARA CANADY 9.8% (170) · RYAN KRAUSE 16.5% (286) · STEVE SCHMUKER JR 7.3% (126) · JOHN C. LERMA 1.9% (33) · AIZAR CAVAZOS 0.5% (9) · ANGELA JUAREZ 0.5% (8) · VANGELA CHURCHILL 0.5% (9) · 649 net for leaderKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: no dataMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: 6,293 votes · MONICA DE LA CRUZ 58.3% (3,671) · MAURO GARZA 15.6% (979) · SARA CANADY 4.0% (251) · RYAN KRAUSE 14.4% (906) · STEVE SCHMUKER JR 2.8% (177) · JOHN C. LERMA 0.9% (59) · AIZAR CAVAZOS 1.0% (66) · ANGELA JUAREZ 1.9% (122) · VANGELA CHURCHILL 1.0% (62) · 2,692 net for leaderTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: 149 votes · MONICA DE LA CRUZ 51.0% (76) · MAURO GARZA 13.4% (20) · SARA CANADY 7.4% (11) · RYAN KRAUSE 10.1% (15) · STEVE SCHMUKER JR 10.1% (15) · JOHN C. LERMA 3.4% (5) · AIZAR CAVAZOS 2.0% (3) · ANGELA JUAREZ 2.0% (3) · VANGELA CHURCHILL 0.7% (1) · 56 net for leaderDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: 2,337 votes · MONICA DE LA CRUZ 67.4% (1,574) · MAURO GARZA 8.8% (206) · SARA CANADY 4.0% (94) · RYAN KRAUSE 8.6% (202) · STEVE SCHMUKER JR 7.3% (170) · JOHN C. LERMA 2.2% (51) · AIZAR CAVAZOS 0.8% (18) · ANGELA JUAREZ 0.3% (7) · VANGELA CHURCHILL 0.6% (15) · 1,368 net for leaderSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: 7,014 votes · MONICA DE LA CRUZ 37.3% (2,618) · MAURO GARZA 14.2% (993) · SARA CANADY 27.8% (1,953) · RYAN KRAUSE 10.7% (750) · STEVE SCHMUKER JR 4.6% (324) · JOHN C. LERMA 1.7% (121) · AIZAR CAVAZOS 1.5% (107) · ANGELA JUAREZ 1.0% (71) · VANGELA CHURCHILL 1.1% (77) · 665 net for leaderStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: 1,471 votes · MONICA DE LA CRUZ 47.9% (705) · MAURO GARZA 18.9% (278) · SARA CANADY 8.4% (123) · RYAN KRAUSE 8.5% (125) · STEVE SCHMUKER JR 8.8% (130) · JOHN C. LERMA 3.5% (52) · AIZAR CAVAZOS 0.7% (11) · ANGELA JUAREZ 1.6% (23) · VANGELA CHURCHILL 1.6% (24) · 427 net for leaderZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (1)
  • Landslide2.9
    WILSON
    SARA CANADY won by -9.5pp vs statewide -47.3pp

County results — early vs Election Day

  • BROOKS149 total
    CRUZEarly 30 · E-day 4676
    GARZAEarly 10 · E-day 1020
    CANADYEarly 9 · E-day 211
    KRAUSEEarly 4 · E-day 1115
    JREarly 6 · E-day 915
    LERMAEarly 1 · E-day 45
    CAVAZOSEarly 3 · E-day 03
    JUAREZEarly 0 · E-day 33
    CHURCHILLEarly 1 · E-day 01
  • GUADALUPE6,293 total
    CRUZEarly 1,905 · E-day 1,7663,671
    GARZAEarly 485 · E-day 494979
    CANADYEarly 131 · E-day 120251
    KRAUSEEarly 386 · E-day 520906
    JREarly 84 · E-day 93177
    LERMAEarly 31 · E-day 2859
    CAVAZOSEarly 30 · E-day 3666
    JUAREZEarly 54 · E-day 68122
    CHURCHILLEarly 34 · E-day 2862
  • HIDALGO10,787 total
    CRUZEarly 4,839 · E-day 2,4177,256
    GARZAEarly 1,447 · E-day 4601,907
    CANADYEarly 100 · E-day 39139
    KRAUSEEarly 285 · E-day 159444
    JREarly 71 · E-day 51122
    LERMAEarly 234 · E-day 103337
    CAVAZOSEarly 195 · E-day 95290
    JUAREZEarly 117 · E-day 65182
    CHURCHILLEarly 70 · E-day 40110
  • JIM WELLS1,471 total
    CRUZEarly 325 · E-day 380705
    GARZAEarly 147 · E-day 131278
    CANADYEarly 61 · E-day 62123
    KRAUSEEarly 54 · E-day 71125
    JREarly 63 · E-day 67130
    LERMAEarly 19 · E-day 3352
    CAVAZOSEarly 2 · E-day 911
    JUAREZEarly 10 · E-day 1323
    CHURCHILLEarly 12 · E-day 1224
  • KARNES1,737 total
    CRUZEarly 409 · E-day 526935
    GARZAEarly 70 · E-day 91161
    CANADYEarly 58 · E-day 112170
    KRAUSEEarly 92 · E-day 194286
    JREarly 40 · E-day 86126
    LERMAEarly 14 · E-day 1933
    CAVAZOSEarly 5 · E-day 49
    JUAREZEarly 1 · E-day 78
    CHURCHILLEarly 5 · E-day 49
  • LIVE OAK2,337 total
    CRUZEarly 754 · E-day 8201,574
    GARZAEarly 87 · E-day 119206
    CANADYEarly 51 · E-day 4394
    KRAUSEEarly 81 · E-day 121202
    JREarly 55 · E-day 115170
    LERMAEarly 13 · E-day 3851
    CAVAZOSEarly 9 · E-day 918
    JUAREZEarly 0 · E-day 77
    CHURCHILLEarly 4 · E-day 1115
  • WILSON7,014 total
    CRUZEarly 1,135 · E-day 1,4832,618
    GARZAEarly 544 · E-day 449993
    CANADYEarly 983 · E-day 9701,953
    KRAUSEEarly 278 · E-day 472750
    JREarly 142 · E-day 182324
    LERMAEarly 50 · E-day 71121
    CAVAZOSEarly 51 · E-day 56107
    JUAREZEarly 38 · E-day 3371
    CHURCHILLEarly 39 · E-day 3877