JUSTICE, 3RD COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 2
⚠ 7Runoff
DemocratFinal Results·140,438 ballots cast
MAGGIE ELLIS
40.5%56,909
EDWARD SMITHI
31.5%44,192
MELISSA LORBER
28.0%39,337
Early vote vs Election Day
MAGGIE ELLIS gained 2.5 percentage points on Election Day.
MAGGIE ELLIS+2.5pp on E-day
Early 30,557 (53.7%)E-day 26,352 (46.3%)
EDWARD SMITH-1.7pp on E-day
Early 24,990 (56.5%)E-day 19,202 (43.5%)
MELISSA LORBER-0.9pp on E-day
Early 22,024 (56.0%)E-day 17,313 (44.0%)
Race totals140,438 ballots
Early 77,571 (55.2%)E-day 62,867 (44.8%)
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (7)
- Swing outlier2.1BELLMAGGIE ELLIS shifted -0.3pp early→E-day vs +4.0pp statewide (3.4σ outlier)
- Landslide0.6BLANCOMAGGIE ELLIS won by +39.9pp vs statewide +9.1pp
- Landslide0.1COKEMAGGIE ELLIS won by +44.4pp vs statewide +9.1pp
- Landslide0.1IRIONMAGGIE ELLIS won by +39.1pp vs statewide +9.1pp
- Landslide0.1STERLINGMAGGIE ELLIS won by +100.0pp vs statewide +9.1pp
- Mid-race flip0.0SCHLEICHERMAGGIE ELLIS led early (46.2%); MELISSA LORBER won E-day (42.9%)
- Mid-race flip0.0CONCHOMELISSA LORBER led early (50.0%); MAGGIE ELLIS won E-day (50.0%)
County results — early vs Election Day
| County | ELLIS | SMITH | LORBER | Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | ||
| BASTROP | 958 | 588 | 1,546 | 397 | 257 | 654 | 662 | 400 | 1,062 | 3,262 |
| BELL | 1,972 | 1,627 | 3,599 | 922 | 812 | 1,734 | 1,343 | 1,083 | 2,426 | 7,759 |
| BLANCO | 164 | 114 | 278 | 50 | 47 | 97 | 39 | 40 | 79 | 454 |
| BURNET | 418 | 203 | 621 | 167 | 49 | 216 | 201 | 93 | 294 | 1,131 |
| CALDWELL | 370 | 234 | 604 | 193 | 114 | 307 | 278 | 188 | 466 | 1,377 |
| COKE | 8 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
| COMAL | 1,278 | 895 | 2,173 | 473 | 322 | 795 | 650 | 476 | 1,126 | 4,094 |
| CONCHO | 3 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32 |
| FAYETTE | 128 | 121 | 249 | 42 | 53 | 95 | 43 | 50 | 93 | 437 |
| HAYS | 4,375 | 3,018 | 7,393 | 1,749 | 937 | 2,686 | 2,018 | 1,351 | 3,369 | 13,448 |
| IRION | 7 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| LAMPASAS | 113 | 116 | 229 | 47 | 31 | 78 | 53 | 49 | 102 | 409 |
| LEE | 80 | 66 | 146 | 31 | 28 | 59 | 27 | 43 | 70 | 275 |
| LLANO | 168 | 77 | 245 | 61 | 31 | 92 | 92 | 67 | 159 | 496 |
| MCCULLOCH | 17 | 11 | 28 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 50 |
| MILAM | 99 | 80 | 179 | 64 | 59 | 123 | 58 | 68 | 126 | 428 |
| MILLS | 11 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 39 |
| RUNNELS | 12 | 15 | 27 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 57 |
| SAN SABA | 5 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 32 |
| SCHLEICHER | 12 | 8 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 47 |
| STERLING | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| TOM GREEN | 333 | 300 | 633 | 204 | 171 | 375 | 225 | 251 | 476 | 1,484 |
| TRAVIS | 14,102 | 14,296 | 28,398 | 17,706 | 14,341 | 32,047 | 12,497 | 10,550 | 23,047 | 83,492 |
| WILLIAMSON | 5,923 | 4,542 | 10,465 | 2,850 | 1,909 | 4,759 | 3,810 | 2,558 | 6,368 | 21,592 |
- BASTROP3,262 totalELLISEarly 958 · E-day 5881,546SMITHEarly 397 · E-day 257654LORBEREarly 662 · E-day 4001,062
- BELL7,759 totalELLISEarly 1,972 · E-day 1,6273,599SMITHEarly 922 · E-day 8121,734LORBEREarly 1,343 · E-day 1,0832,426
- BLANCO454 totalELLISEarly 164 · E-day 114278SMITHEarly 50 · E-day 4797LORBEREarly 39 · E-day 4079
- BURNET1,131 totalELLISEarly 418 · E-day 203621SMITHEarly 167 · E-day 49216LORBEREarly 201 · E-day 93294
- CALDWELL1,377 totalELLISEarly 370 · E-day 234604SMITHEarly 193 · E-day 114307LORBEREarly 278 · E-day 188466
- COKE18 totalELLISEarly 8 · E-day 412SMITHEarly 3 · E-day 14LORBEREarly 1 · E-day 12
- COMAL4,094 totalELLISEarly 1,278 · E-day 8952,173SMITHEarly 473 · E-day 322795LORBEREarly 650 · E-day 4761,126
- CONCHO32 totalELLISEarly 3 · E-day 1114SMITHEarly 2 · E-day 35LORBEREarly 5 · E-day 813
- FAYETTE437 totalELLISEarly 128 · E-day 121249SMITHEarly 42 · E-day 5395LORBEREarly 43 · E-day 5093
- HAYS13,448 totalELLISEarly 4,375 · E-day 3,0187,393SMITHEarly 1,749 · E-day 9372,686LORBEREarly 2,018 · E-day 1,3513,369
- IRION23 totalELLISEarly 7 · E-day 714SMITHEarly 1 · E-day 34LORBEREarly 3 · E-day 25
- LAMPASAS409 totalELLISEarly 113 · E-day 116229SMITHEarly 47 · E-day 3178LORBEREarly 53 · E-day 49102
- LEE275 totalELLISEarly 80 · E-day 66146SMITHEarly 31 · E-day 2859LORBEREarly 27 · E-day 4370
- LLANO496 totalELLISEarly 168 · E-day 77245SMITHEarly 61 · E-day 3192LORBEREarly 92 · E-day 67159
- MCCULLOCH50 totalELLISEarly 17 · E-day 1128SMITHEarly 2 · E-day 79LORBEREarly 5 · E-day 813
- MILAM428 totalELLISEarly 99 · E-day 80179SMITHEarly 64 · E-day 59123LORBEREarly 58 · E-day 68126
- MILLS39 totalELLISEarly 11 · E-day 819SMITHEarly 6 · E-day 410LORBEREarly 4 · E-day 610
- RUNNELS57 totalELLISEarly 12 · E-day 1527SMITHEarly 5 · E-day 1419LORBEREarly 4 · E-day 711
- SAN SABA32 totalELLISEarly 5 · E-day 1015SMITHEarly 4 · E-day 59LORBEREarly 3 · E-day 58
- SCHLEICHER47 totalELLISEarly 12 · E-day 820SMITHEarly 11 · E-day 415LORBEREarly 3 · E-day 912
- STERLING2 totalELLISEarly 1 · E-day 12SMITHEarly 0 · E-day 00LORBEREarly 0 · E-day 00
- TOM GREEN1,484 totalELLISEarly 333 · E-day 300633SMITHEarly 204 · E-day 171375LORBEREarly 225 · E-day 251476
- TRAVIS83,492 totalELLISEarly 14,102 · E-day 14,29628,398SMITHEarly 17,706 · E-day 14,34132,047LORBEREarly 12,497 · E-day 10,55023,047
- WILLIAMSON21,592 totalELLISEarly 5,923 · E-day 4,54210,465SMITHEarly 2,850 · E-day 1,9094,759LORBEREarly 3,810 · E-day 2,5586,368