U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 10

14
Final Results·347,818 ballots cast
MICHAEL T. MCCAULI
63.6%221,229
THERESA BOISSEAU
34.0%118,280
JEFF MILLER
2.4%8,309
Early vote vs Election Day

JEFF MILLER gained 2.1 percentage points on Election Day.

MICHAEL T. MCCAUL-1.0pp on E-day
Early 181,210 (81.9%)E-day 40,019 (18.1%)
THERESA BOISSEAU-1.1pp on E-day
Early 97,180 (82.2%)E-day 21,100 (17.8%)
JEFF MILLER+2.1pp on E-day
Early 5,690 (68.5%)E-day 2,619 (31.5%)
Race totals347,818 ballots
Early 284,080 (81.7%)E-day 63,738 (18.3%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: 90,331 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 63.3% (57,190) · THERESA BOISSEAU 33.7% (30,413) · JEFF MILLER 3.0% (2,728) · 26,777 net for leaderJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: 13,057 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 81.9% (10,689) · THERESA BOISSEAU 16.5% (2,156) · JEFF MILLER 1.6% (212) · 8,533 net for leaderBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: 17,916 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 78.8% (14,115) · THERESA BOISSEAU 19.3% (3,466) · JEFF MILLER 1.9% (335) · 10,649 net for leaderLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: 26,979 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 63.2% (17,039) · THERESA BOISSEAU 34.6% (9,346) · JEFF MILLER 2.2% (594) · 7,693 net for leaderMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: 9,725 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 79.6% (7,744) · THERESA BOISSEAU 18.9% (1,837) · JEFF MILLER 1.5% (144) · 5,907 net for leaderWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: 20,670 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 43.3% (8,960) · THERESA BOISSEAU 53.9% (11,143) · JEFF MILLER 2.7% (567) · 2,183 net for leaderCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: 13,765 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 80.2% (11,037) · THERESA BOISSEAU 17.8% (2,445) · JEFF MILLER 2.1% (283) · 8,592 net for leaderIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: 8,198 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 80.5% (6,599) · THERESA BOISSEAU 17.6% (1,442) · JEFF MILLER 1.9% (157) · 5,157 net for leaderCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: 5,372 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 81.9% (4,398) · THERESA BOISSEAU 16.6% (890) · JEFF MILLER 1.6% (84) · 3,508 net for leaderMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: 20,372 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 57.7% (11,760) · THERESA BOISSEAU 39.5% (8,054) · JEFF MILLER 2.7% (558) · 3,706 net for leaderScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: 15,020 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 82.4% (12,377) · THERESA BOISSEAU 15.7% (2,365) · JEFF MILLER 1.9% (278) · 10,012 net for leaderHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: 9,201 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 81.5% (7,502) · THERESA BOISSEAU 16.6% (1,528) · JEFF MILLER 1.9% (171) · 5,974 net for leaderBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: 97,212 votes · MICHAEL T. MCCAUL 53.3% (51,819) · THERESA BOISSEAU 44.4% (43,195) · JEFF MILLER 2.3% (2,198) · 8,624 net for leaderHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (14)
  • Crossover9.7
    TRAVIS
    MICHAEL T. MCCAUL (REP) won a county with 29.2% REP lean
  • Underperform6.7
    WILLIAMSON
    MICHAEL T. MCCAUL's margin -10.6pp vs statewide +29.6pp
  • Landslide4.2
    AUSTIN
    MICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +66.7pp vs statewide +29.6pp
  • Underperform4.1
    TRAVIS
    MICHAEL T. MCCAUL's margin +8.9pp vs statewide +29.6pp
  • Landslide3.8
    FAYETTE
    MICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +65.4pp vs statewide +29.6pp
  • Landslide3.6
    GRIMES
    MICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +62.4pp vs statewide +29.6pp
  • Landslide3.1
    BURLESON
    MICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +64.9pp vs statewide +29.6pp
  • Landslide2.8
    COLORADO
    MICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +60.7pp vs statewide +29.6pp
  • Swing outlier2.8
    WALLER
    MICHAEL T. MCCAUL shifted -13.9pp early→E-day vs -3.2pp statewide (2.5σ outlier)
  • Landslide2.8
    LEE
    MICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +62.9pp vs statewide +29.6pp
  • Landslide2.4
    MADISON
    MICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +65.3pp vs statewide +29.6pp
  • Swing outlier2.1
    WILLIAMSON
    MICHAEL T. MCCAUL shifted +6.1pp early→E-day vs -3.2pp statewide (2.1σ outlier)
  • Mid-race flip1.6
    WILLIAMSON
    THERESA BOISSEAU led early (55.1%); MICHAEL T. MCCAUL won E-day (48.7%)
  • Crossover0.7
    WILLIAMSON
    THERESA BOISSEAU (DEM) won a county with 51.7% REP lean

County results — early vs Election Day

  • AUSTIN15,020 total
    MCCAULEarly 9,965 · E-day 2,41212,377
    BOISSEAUEarly 1,816 · E-day 5492,365
    MILLEREarly 196 · E-day 82278
  • BASTROP20,372 total
    MCCAULEarly 9,504 · E-day 2,25611,760
    BOISSEAUEarly 6,534 · E-day 1,5208,054
    MILLEREarly 387 · E-day 171558
  • BRAZOS90,331 total
    MCCAULEarly 46,990 · E-day 10,20057,190
    BOISSEAUEarly 24,228 · E-day 6,18530,413
    MILLEREarly 1,808 · E-day 9202,728
  • BURLESON9,201 total
    MCCAULEarly 5,959 · E-day 1,5437,502
    BOISSEAUEarly 1,126 · E-day 4021,528
    MILLEREarly 112 · E-day 59171
  • COLORADO9,725 total
    MCCAULEarly 6,139 · E-day 1,6057,744
    BOISSEAUEarly 1,423 · E-day 4141,837
    MILLEREarly 108 · E-day 36144
  • FAYETTE13,057 total
    MCCAULEarly 7,495 · E-day 3,19410,689
    BOISSEAUEarly 1,499 · E-day 6572,156
    MILLEREarly 101 · E-day 111212
  • GRIMES13,765 total
    MCCAULEarly 8,351 · E-day 2,68611,037
    BOISSEAUEarly 1,773 · E-day 6722,445
    MILLEREarly 177 · E-day 106283
  • LEE8,198 total
    MCCAULEarly 5,172 · E-day 1,4276,599
    BOISSEAUEarly 1,050 · E-day 3921,442
    MILLEREarly 105 · E-day 52157
  • MADISON5,372 total
    MCCAULEarly 3,493 · E-day 9054,398
    BOISSEAUEarly 670 · E-day 220890
    MILLEREarly 64 · E-day 2084
  • TRAVIS97,212 total
    MCCAULEarly 44,509 · E-day 7,31051,819
    BOISSEAUEarly 37,397 · E-day 5,79843,195
    MILLEREarly 1,563 · E-day 6352,198
  • WALLER26,979 total
    MCCAULEarly 14,206 · E-day 2,83317,039
    BOISSEAUEarly 6,922 · E-day 2,4249,346
    MILLEREarly 413 · E-day 181594
  • WASHINGTON17,916 total
    MCCAULEarly 11,703 · E-day 2,41214,115
    BOISSEAUEarly 2,745 · E-day 7213,466
    MILLEREarly 247 · E-day 88335
  • WILLIAMSON20,670 total
    MCCAULEarly 7,724 · E-day 1,2368,960
    BOISSEAUEarly 9,997 · E-day 1,14611,143
    MILLEREarly 409 · E-day 158567