U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 10
⚠ 14
Final Results·347,818 ballots cast
MICHAEL T. MCCAULI
63.6%221,229
THERESA BOISSEAU
34.0%118,280
JEFF MILLER
2.4%8,309
Early vote vs Election Day
JEFF MILLER gained 2.1 percentage points on Election Day.
MICHAEL T. MCCAUL-1.0pp on E-day
Early 181,210 (81.9%)E-day 40,019 (18.1%)
THERESA BOISSEAU-1.1pp on E-day
Early 97,180 (82.2%)E-day 21,100 (17.8%)
JEFF MILLER+2.1pp on E-day
Early 5,690 (68.5%)E-day 2,619 (31.5%)
Race totals347,818 ballots
Early 284,080 (81.7%)E-day 63,738 (18.3%)
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (14)
- Crossover9.7TRAVISMICHAEL T. MCCAUL (REP) won a county with 29.2% REP lean
- Underperform6.7WILLIAMSONMICHAEL T. MCCAUL's margin -10.6pp vs statewide +29.6pp
- Landslide4.2AUSTINMICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +66.7pp vs statewide +29.6pp
- Underperform4.1TRAVISMICHAEL T. MCCAUL's margin +8.9pp vs statewide +29.6pp
- Landslide3.8FAYETTEMICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +65.4pp vs statewide +29.6pp
- Landslide3.6GRIMESMICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +62.4pp vs statewide +29.6pp
- Landslide3.1BURLESONMICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +64.9pp vs statewide +29.6pp
- Landslide2.8COLORADOMICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +60.7pp vs statewide +29.6pp
- Swing outlier2.8WALLERMICHAEL T. MCCAUL shifted -13.9pp early→E-day vs -3.2pp statewide (2.5σ outlier)
- Landslide2.8LEEMICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +62.9pp vs statewide +29.6pp
- Landslide2.4MADISONMICHAEL T. MCCAUL won by +65.3pp vs statewide +29.6pp
- Swing outlier2.1WILLIAMSONMICHAEL T. MCCAUL shifted +6.1pp early→E-day vs -3.2pp statewide (2.1σ outlier)
- Mid-race flip1.6WILLIAMSONTHERESA BOISSEAU led early (55.1%); MICHAEL T. MCCAUL won E-day (48.7%)
- Crossover0.7WILLIAMSONTHERESA BOISSEAU (DEM) won a county with 51.7% REP lean
County results — early vs Election Day
| County | MCCAUL | BOISSEAU | MILLER | Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | ||
| AUSTIN | 9,965 | 2,412 | 12,377 | 1,816 | 549 | 2,365 | 196 | 82 | 278 | 15,020 |
| BASTROP | 9,504 | 2,256 | 11,760 | 6,534 | 1,520 | 8,054 | 387 | 171 | 558 | 20,372 |
| BRAZOS | 46,990 | 10,200 | 57,190 | 24,228 | 6,185 | 30,413 | 1,808 | 920 | 2,728 | 90,331 |
| BURLESON | 5,959 | 1,543 | 7,502 | 1,126 | 402 | 1,528 | 112 | 59 | 171 | 9,201 |
| COLORADO | 6,139 | 1,605 | 7,744 | 1,423 | 414 | 1,837 | 108 | 36 | 144 | 9,725 |
| FAYETTE | 7,495 | 3,194 | 10,689 | 1,499 | 657 | 2,156 | 101 | 111 | 212 | 13,057 |
| GRIMES | 8,351 | 2,686 | 11,037 | 1,773 | 672 | 2,445 | 177 | 106 | 283 | 13,765 |
| LEE | 5,172 | 1,427 | 6,599 | 1,050 | 392 | 1,442 | 105 | 52 | 157 | 8,198 |
| MADISON | 3,493 | 905 | 4,398 | 670 | 220 | 890 | 64 | 20 | 84 | 5,372 |
| TRAVIS | 44,509 | 7,310 | 51,819 | 37,397 | 5,798 | 43,195 | 1,563 | 635 | 2,198 | 97,212 |
| WALLER | 14,206 | 2,833 | 17,039 | 6,922 | 2,424 | 9,346 | 413 | 181 | 594 | 26,979 |
| WASHINGTON | 11,703 | 2,412 | 14,115 | 2,745 | 721 | 3,466 | 247 | 88 | 335 | 17,916 |
| WILLIAMSON | 7,724 | 1,236 | 8,960 | 9,997 | 1,146 | 11,143 | 409 | 158 | 567 | 20,670 |
- AUSTIN15,020 totalMCCAULEarly 9,965 · E-day 2,41212,377BOISSEAUEarly 1,816 · E-day 5492,365MILLEREarly 196 · E-day 82278
- BASTROP20,372 totalMCCAULEarly 9,504 · E-day 2,25611,760BOISSEAUEarly 6,534 · E-day 1,5208,054MILLEREarly 387 · E-day 171558
- BRAZOS90,331 totalMCCAULEarly 46,990 · E-day 10,20057,190BOISSEAUEarly 24,228 · E-day 6,18530,413MILLEREarly 1,808 · E-day 9202,728
- BURLESON9,201 totalMCCAULEarly 5,959 · E-day 1,5437,502BOISSEAUEarly 1,126 · E-day 4021,528MILLEREarly 112 · E-day 59171
- COLORADO9,725 totalMCCAULEarly 6,139 · E-day 1,6057,744BOISSEAUEarly 1,423 · E-day 4141,837MILLEREarly 108 · E-day 36144
- FAYETTE13,057 totalMCCAULEarly 7,495 · E-day 3,19410,689BOISSEAUEarly 1,499 · E-day 6572,156MILLEREarly 101 · E-day 111212
- GRIMES13,765 totalMCCAULEarly 8,351 · E-day 2,68611,037BOISSEAUEarly 1,773 · E-day 6722,445MILLEREarly 177 · E-day 106283
- LEE8,198 totalMCCAULEarly 5,172 · E-day 1,4276,599BOISSEAUEarly 1,050 · E-day 3921,442MILLEREarly 105 · E-day 52157
- MADISON5,372 totalMCCAULEarly 3,493 · E-day 9054,398BOISSEAUEarly 670 · E-day 220890MILLEREarly 64 · E-day 2084
- TRAVIS97,212 totalMCCAULEarly 44,509 · E-day 7,31051,819BOISSEAUEarly 37,397 · E-day 5,79843,195MILLEREarly 1,563 · E-day 6352,198
- WALLER26,979 totalMCCAULEarly 14,206 · E-day 2,83317,039BOISSEAUEarly 6,922 · E-day 2,4249,346MILLEREarly 413 · E-day 181594
- WASHINGTON17,916 totalMCCAULEarly 11,703 · E-day 2,41214,115BOISSEAUEarly 2,745 · E-day 7213,466MILLEREarly 247 · E-day 88335
- WILLIAMSON20,670 totalMCCAULEarly 7,724 · E-day 1,2368,960BOISSEAUEarly 9,997 · E-day 1,14611,143MILLEREarly 409 · E-day 158567