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TXElectionResults.com
← 2024 NOVEMBER 5TH GENERAL ELECTION

JUSTICE, 3RD COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 2

⚠ 24
Final Results·1,376,472 ballots cast
MAGGIE ELLIS
50.9%700,587
JOHN MESSINGER
49.1%675,885
Early vote vs Election Day

JOHN MESSINGER gained 3.7 percentage points on Election Day.

MAGGIE ELLIS-3.7pp on E-day
Early 591,683 (84.5%)E-day 108,904 (15.5%)
JOHN MESSINGER+3.7pp on E-day
Early 556,978 (82.4%)E-day 118,907 (17.6%)
Race totals1,376,472 ballots
Early 1,148,661 (83.4%)E-day 227,811 (16.6%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: 123,968 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 59.1% (73,295) · MAGGIE ELLIS 40.9% (50,673) · 22,622 net for leaderBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: 1,036 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 82.4% (854) · MAGGIE ELLIS 17.6% (182) · 672 net for leaderGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: 12,742 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 81.6% (10,401) · MAGGIE ELLIS 18.4% (2,341) · 8,060 net for leaderBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: 2,607 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 89.1% (2,324) · MAGGIE ELLIS 10.9% (283) · 2,041 net for leaderOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: 100,449 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 74.7% (75,024) · MAGGIE ELLIS 25.3% (25,425) · 49,599 net for leaderAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: no dataMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: 14,875 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 56.7% (8,435) · MAGGIE ELLIS 43.3% (6,440) · 1,995 net for leaderParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: 120,020 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 48.2% (57,870) · MAGGIE ELLIS 51.8% (62,150) · 4,280 net for leaderMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: 595 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 93.9% (559) · MAGGIE ELLIS 6.1% (36) · 523 net for leaderWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: 27,275 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 79.2% (21,607) · MAGGIE ELLIS 20.8% (5,668) · 15,939 net for leaderGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: 823 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 88.5% (728) · MAGGIE ELLIS 11.5% (95) · 633 net for leaderNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: 1,150 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 86.9% (999) · MAGGIE ELLIS 13.1% (151) · 848 net for leaderCoke: 1,718 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 91.4% (1,570) · MAGGIE ELLIS 8.6% (148) · 1,422 net for leaderPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: 7,999 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 80.5% (6,443) · MAGGIE ELLIS 19.5% (1,556) · 4,887 net for leaderCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: 10,715 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 79.2% (8,484) · MAGGIE ELLIS 20.8% (2,231) · 6,253 net for leaderReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: 3,889 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 89.3% (3,474) · MAGGIE ELLIS 10.7% (415) · 3,059 net for leaderTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: 37,685 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 59.3% (22,346) · MAGGIE ELLIS 40.7% (15,339) · 7,007 net for leaderScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: 3,376 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 86.7% (2,926) · MAGGIE ELLIS 13.3% (450) · 2,476 net for leaderCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: 43,334 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 75.5% (32,697) · MAGGIE ELLIS 24.5% (10,637) · 22,060 net for leaderYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: 2,535 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 89.7% (2,275) · MAGGIE ELLIS 10.3% (260) · 2,015 net for leaderBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: 10,673 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 80.7% (8,613) · MAGGIE ELLIS 19.3% (2,060) · 6,553 net for leaderUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: 8,159 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 77.7% (6,343) · MAGGIE ELLIS 22.3% (1,816) · 4,527 net for leaderNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: 13,212 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 82.2% (10,861) · MAGGIE ELLIS 17.8% (2,351) · 8,510 net for leaderMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: 538,106 votes · JOHN MESSINGER 30.7% (165,249) · MAGGIE ELLIS 69.3% (372,857) · 207,608 net for leaderHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (24)
  • Underperform10.0
    BURNET
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -58.4pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform10.0
    COMAL
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -49.4pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform10.0
    TOM GREEN
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -50.9pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform8.8
    LLANO
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -64.4pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform8.5
    FAYETTE
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -63.3pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform7.5
    LAMPASAS
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -61.4pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform7.2
    MILAM
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -58.4pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform6.5
    LEE
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -61.1pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform6.0
    BLANCO
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -55.5pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Landslide5.9
    TRAVIS
    MAGGIE ELLIS won by +38.6pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform5.8
    RUNNELS
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -78.7pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform5.0
    MCCULLOCH
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -73.3pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform4.7
    SAN SABA
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -79.5pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform4.7
    MILLS
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -78.3pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform4.1
    BASTROP
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -18.6pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform4.0
    COKE
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -82.8pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform4.0
    BELL
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -18.2pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform3.0
    CONCHO
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -73.7pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform2.6
    IRION
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -76.9pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform2.5
    STERLING
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -87.9pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform2.5
    SCHLEICHER
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -64.9pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Underperform2.1
    CALDWELL
    MAGGIE ELLIS's margin -13.4pp vs statewide +1.8pp
  • Swing outlier1.6
    MILAM
    MAGGIE ELLIS shifted +6.4pp early→E-day vs -3.0pp statewide (2.3σ outlier)
  • Swing outlier1.3
    LEE
    MAGGIE ELLIS shifted +5.9pp early→E-day vs -3.0pp statewide (2.2σ outlier)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • BASTROP37,685 total
    ELLISEarly 12,488 · E-day 2,85115,339
    MESSINGEREarly 18,149 · E-day 4,19722,346
  • BELL123,968 total
    ELLISEarly 39,522 · E-day 11,15150,673
    MESSINGEREarly 57,499 · E-day 15,79673,295
  • BLANCO8,159 total
    ELLISEarly 1,604 · E-day 2121,816
    MESSINGEREarly 5,492 · E-day 8516,343
  • BURNET27,275 total
    ELLISEarly 4,714 · E-day 9545,668
    MESSINGEREarly 17,999 · E-day 3,60821,607
  • CALDWELL14,875 total
    ELLISEarly 5,126 · E-day 1,3146,440
    MESSINGEREarly 6,849 · E-day 1,5868,435
  • COKE1,718 total
    ELLISEarly 105 · E-day 43148
    MESSINGEREarly 1,131 · E-day 4391,570
  • COMAL100,449 total
    ELLISEarly 21,678 · E-day 3,74725,425
    MESSINGEREarly 65,032 · E-day 9,99275,024
  • CONCHO1,150 total
    ELLISEarly 85 · E-day 66151
    MESSINGEREarly 643 · E-day 356999
  • FAYETTE12,742 total
    ELLISEarly 1,576 · E-day 7652,341
    MESSINGEREarly 7,313 · E-day 3,08810,401
  • HAYS120,020 total
    ELLISEarly 52,279 · E-day 9,87162,150
    MESSINGEREarly 48,600 · E-day 9,27057,870
  • IRION823 total
    ELLISEarly 62 · E-day 3395
    MESSINGEREarly 602 · E-day 126728
  • LAMPASAS10,673 total
    ELLISEarly 1,651 · E-day 4092,060
    MESSINGEREarly 7,109 · E-day 1,5048,613
  • LEE7,999 total
    ELLISEarly 1,118 · E-day 4381,556
    MESSINGEREarly 5,059 · E-day 1,3846,443
  • LLANO13,212 total
    ELLISEarly 2,043 · E-day 3082,351
    MESSINGEREarly 9,553 · E-day 1,30810,861
  • MCCULLOCH3,376 total
    ELLISEarly 325 · E-day 125450
    MESSINGEREarly 2,246 · E-day 6802,926
  • MILAM10,715 total
    ELLISEarly 1,731 · E-day 5002,231
    MESSINGEREarly 7,067 · E-day 1,4178,484
  • MILLS2,607 total
    ELLISEarly 236 · E-day 47283
    MESSINGEREarly 1,900 · E-day 4242,324
  • RUNNELS3,889 total
    ELLISEarly 241 · E-day 174415
    MESSINGEREarly 2,347 · E-day 1,1273,474
  • SAN SABA2,535 total
    ELLISEarly 171 · E-day 89260
    MESSINGEREarly 1,674 · E-day 6012,275
  • SCHLEICHER1,036 total
    ELLISEarly 122 · E-day 60182
    MESSINGEREarly 699 · E-day 155854
  • STERLING595 total
    ELLISEarly 21 · E-day 1536
    MESSINGEREarly 438 · E-day 121559
  • TOM GREEN43,334 total
    ELLISEarly 8,409 · E-day 2,22810,637
    MESSINGEREarly 26,333 · E-day 6,36432,697
  • TRAVIS538,106 total
    ELLISEarly 318,694 · E-day 54,163372,857
    MESSINGEREarly 133,991 · E-day 31,258165,249
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