U. S. REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 3

1
RepublicanFinal Results·76,758 ballots cast
KEITH SELFI
72.8%55,888
SUZANNE HARP
18.5%14,215
TRE PENNIE
3.6%2,797
JOHN PORRO
3.4%2,634
JEREMY D. IVANOVSKIS
1.6%1,224
Early vote vs Election Day

SUZANNE HARP gained 4.3 percentage points on Election Day.

KEITH SELF-5.1pp on E-day
Early 33,672 (60.2%)E-day 22,216 (39.8%)
SUZANNE HARP+4.3pp on E-day
Early 7,522 (52.9%)E-day 6,693 (47.1%)
TRE PENNIE-0.0pp on E-day
Early 1,641 (58.7%)E-day 1,156 (41.3%)
JOHN PORRO+0.3pp on E-day
Early 1,480 (56.2%)E-day 1,154 (43.8%)
JEREMY D. IVANOVSKIS+0.5pp on E-day
Early 617 (50.4%)E-day 607 (49.6%)
Race totals76,758 ballots
Early 44,932 (58.5%)E-day 31,826 (41.5%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: no dataMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: 10,987 votes · KEITH SELF 77.1% (8,475) · SUZANNE HARP 13.3% (1,459) · TRE PENNIE 2.3% (257) · JOHN PORRO 6.1% (666) · JEREMY D. IVANOVSKIS 1.2% (130) · 7,016 net for leaderMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: 65,771 votes · KEITH SELF 72.1% (47,413) · SUZANNE HARP 19.4% (12,756) · TRE PENNIE 3.9% (2,540) · JOHN PORRO 3.0% (1,968) · JEREMY D. IVANOVSKIS 1.7% (1,094) · 34,657 net for leaderBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (1)
  • Swing outlier1.8
    HUNT
    KEITH SELF shifted +4.3pp early→E-day vs -5.8pp statewide (2.4σ outlier)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • COLLIN65,771 total
    SELFEarly 30,190 · E-day 17,22347,413
    HARPEarly 6,923 · E-day 5,83312,756
    PENNIEEarly 1,542 · E-day 9982,540
    PORROEarly 1,045 · E-day 9231,968
    IVANOVSKISEarly 568 · E-day 5261,094
  • HUNT10,987 total
    SELFEarly 3,482 · E-day 4,9938,475
    HARPEarly 599 · E-day 8601,459
    PENNIEEarly 99 · E-day 158257
    PORROEarly 435 · E-day 231666
    IVANOVSKISEarly 49 · E-day 81130