PRESIDENT/VICE-PRESIDENT, CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 22

1
RepublicanFinal Results·72,980 ballots cast
DONALD J. TRUMP
78.3%57,113
NIKKI HALEY
16.8%12,266
UNCOMMITTED
1.9%1,401
RON DESANTIS
1.8%1,322
VIVEK RAMASWAMY
0.6%416
CHRIS CHRISTIE
0.3%248
ASA HUTCHINSON
0.1%93
RYAN L. BINKLEY
0.1%62
DAVID STUCKENBERG
0.1%59
Early vote vs Election Day

DONALD J. TRUMP gained 0.5 percentage points on Election Day.

DONALD J. TRUMP+0.5pp on E-day
Early 35,218 (61.7%)E-day 21,895 (38.3%)
NIKKI HALEY+0.3pp on E-day
Early 7,524 (61.3%)E-day 4,742 (38.7%)
UNCOMMITTED-0.3pp on E-day
Early 926 (66.1%)E-day 475 (33.9%)
RON DESANTIS-0.4pp on E-day
Early 889 (67.2%)E-day 433 (32.8%)
VIVEK RAMASWAMY+0.0pp on E-day
Early 257 (61.8%)E-day 159 (38.2%)
CHRIS CHRISTIE-0.1pp on E-day
Early 165 (66.5%)E-day 83 (33.5%)
ASA HUTCHINSON-0.0pp on E-day
Early 63 (67.7%)E-day 30 (32.3%)
RYAN L. BINKLEY-0.1pp on E-day
Early 47 (75.8%)E-day 15 (24.2%)
DAVID STUCKENBERG+0.1pp on E-day
Early 24 (40.7%)E-day 35 (59.3%)
Race totals72,980 ballots
Early 45,113 (61.8%)E-day 27,867 (38.2%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: 44,018 votes · DONALD J. TRUMP 75.3% (33,150) · NIKKI HALEY 19.6% (8,629) · UNCOMMITTED 1.7% (767) · RON DESANTIS 2.0% (894) · VIVEK RAMASWAMY 0.7% (287) · CHRIS CHRISTIE 0.4% (162) · ASA HUTCHINSON 0.1% (58) · RYAN L. BINKLEY 0.1% (38) · DAVID STUCKENBERG 0.1% (33) · 24,521 net for leaderParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: 5,926 votes · DONALD J. TRUMP 85.9% (5,093) · NIKKI HALEY 9.9% (587) · UNCOMMITTED 1.9% (111) · RON DESANTIS 1.7% (99) · VIVEK RAMASWAMY 0.2% (12) · CHRIS CHRISTIE 0.2% (12) · ASA HUTCHINSON 0.1% (7) · RYAN L. BINKLEY 0.0% (2) · DAVID STUCKENBERG 0.1% (3) · 4,506 net for leaderFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: no dataMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: 5,098 votes · DONALD J. TRUMP 79.2% (4,037) · NIKKI HALEY 16.2% (826) · UNCOMMITTED 1.7% (86) · RON DESANTIS 1.7% (89) · VIVEK RAMASWAMY 0.6% (31) · CHRIS CHRISTIE 0.2% (11) · ASA HUTCHINSON 0.1% (5) · RYAN L. BINKLEY 0.1% (5) · DAVID STUCKENBERG 0.2% (8) · 3,211 net for leaderDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: 12,783 votes · DONALD J. TRUMP 81.7% (10,445) · NIKKI HALEY 13.4% (1,714) · UNCOMMITTED 2.3% (298) · RON DESANTIS 1.4% (174) · VIVEK RAMASWAMY 0.5% (69) · CHRIS CHRISTIE 0.3% (44) · ASA HUTCHINSON 0.1% (14) · RYAN L. BINKLEY 0.1% (13) · DAVID STUCKENBERG 0.1% (12) · 8,731 net for leaderThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: 5,155 votes · DONALD J. TRUMP 85.1% (4,388) · NIKKI HALEY 9.9% (510) · UNCOMMITTED 2.7% (139) · RON DESANTIS 1.3% (66) · VIVEK RAMASWAMY 0.3% (17) · CHRIS CHRISTIE 0.4% (19) · ASA HUTCHINSON 0.2% (9) · RYAN L. BINKLEY 0.1% (4) · DAVID STUCKENBERG 0.1% (3) · 3,878 net for leaderHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (1)
  • Swing outlier1.4
    MATAGORDA
    DONALD J. TRUMP shifted +3.0pp early→E-day vs +0.6pp statewide (2.9σ outlier)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • BRAZORIA12,783 total
    TRUMPEarly 6,939 · E-day 3,50610,445
    HALEYEarly 1,106 · E-day 6081,714
    UNCOMMITTEDEarly 214 · E-day 84298
    DESANTISEarly 130 · E-day 44174
    RAMASWAMYEarly 53 · E-day 1669
    CHRISTIEEarly 32 · E-day 1244
    HUTCHINSONEarly 13 · E-day 114
    BINKLEYEarly 10 · E-day 313
    STUCKENBERGEarly 9 · E-day 312
  • FORT BEND44,018 total
    TRUMPEarly 20,320 · E-day 12,83033,150
    HALEYEarly 5,242 · E-day 3,3878,629
    UNCOMMITTEDEarly 496 · E-day 271767
    DESANTISEarly 596 · E-day 298894
    RAMASWAMYEarly 168 · E-day 119287
    CHRISTIEEarly 104 · E-day 58162
    HUTCHINSONEarly 35 · E-day 2358
    BINKLEYEarly 31 · E-day 738
    STUCKENBERGEarly 10 · E-day 2333
  • HARRIS5,098 total
    TRUMPEarly 2,293 · E-day 1,7444,037
    HALEYEarly 468 · E-day 358826
    UNCOMMITTEDEarly 59 · E-day 2786
    DESANTISEarly 55 · E-day 3489
    RAMASWAMYEarly 18 · E-day 1331
    CHRISTIEEarly 6 · E-day 511
    HUTCHINSONEarly 2 · E-day 35
    BINKLEYEarly 3 · E-day 25
    STUCKENBERGEarly 2 · E-day 68
  • MATAGORDA5,155 total
    TRUMPEarly 2,599 · E-day 1,7894,388
    HALEYEarly 330 · E-day 180510
    UNCOMMITTEDEarly 87 · E-day 52139
    DESANTISEarly 46 · E-day 2066
    RAMASWAMYEarly 10 · E-day 717
    CHRISTIEEarly 14 · E-day 519
    HUTCHINSONEarly 8 · E-day 19
    BINKLEYEarly 2 · E-day 24
    STUCKENBERGEarly 1 · E-day 23
  • WHARTON5,926 total
    TRUMPEarly 3,067 · E-day 2,0265,093
    HALEYEarly 378 · E-day 209587
    UNCOMMITTEDEarly 70 · E-day 41111
    DESANTISEarly 62 · E-day 3799
    RAMASWAMYEarly 8 · E-day 412
    CHRISTIEEarly 9 · E-day 312
    HUTCHINSONEarly 5 · E-day 27
    BINKLEYEarly 1 · E-day 12
    STUCKENBERGEarly 2 · E-day 13