JUSTICE, 14TH COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 4
⚠ 7
RepublicanFinal Results·288,633 ballots cast
TONYA MCLAUGHLIN
51.9%149,814
STEVE ROGERS
48.1%138,819
Early vote vs Election Day
STEVE ROGERS gained 9.4 percentage points on Election Day.
TONYA MCLAUGHLIN-9.4pp on E-day
Early 94,982 (63.4%)E-day 54,832 (36.6%)
STEVE ROGERS+9.4pp on E-day
Early 75,361 (54.3%)E-day 63,458 (45.7%)
Race totals288,633 ballots
Early 170,343 (59.0%)E-day 118,290 (41.0%)
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / max county margin)
Noted (7)
- Underperform3.5GALVESTONTONYA MCLAUGHLIN's margin -14.8pp vs statewide +3.8pp
- Mid-race flip2.6HARRISTONYA MCLAUGHLIN led early (60.4%); STEVE ROGERS won E-day (51.9%)
- Underperform2.5GRIMESTONYA MCLAUGHLIN's margin -29.0pp vs statewide +3.8pp
- Underperform2.4AUSTINTONYA MCLAUGHLIN's margin -28.7pp vs statewide +3.8pp
- Underperform2.2WASHINGTONTONYA MCLAUGHLIN's margin -22.0pp vs statewide +3.8pp
- Swing outlier1.3WASHINGTONTONYA MCLAUGHLIN shifted -2.4pp early→E-day vs -10.0pp statewide (2.4σ outlier)
- Swing outlier1.1CHAMBERSTONYA MCLAUGHLIN shifted -3.6pp early→E-day vs -10.0pp statewide (2.0σ outlier)
County results — early vs Election Day
| County | MCLAUGHLIN | ROGERS | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | ||
| AUSTIN | 759 | 662 | 1,421 | 1,245 | 1,319 | 2,564 | 3,985 |
| BRAZORIA | 11,531 | 5,630 | 17,161 | 7,191 | 4,355 | 11,546 | 28,707 |
| CHAMBERS | 1,797 | 1,113 | 2,910 | 1,865 | 1,337 | 3,202 | 6,112 |
| COLORADO | 964 | 835 | 1,799 | 785 | 784 | 1,569 | 3,368 |
| FORT BEND | 13,885 | 6,289 | 20,174 | 13,946 | 9,092 | 23,038 | 43,212 |
| GALVESTON | 7,396 | 3,984 | 11,380 | 9,129 | 6,220 | 15,349 | 26,729 |
| GRIMES | 810 | 753 | 1,563 | 1,385 | 1,456 | 2,841 | 4,404 |
| HARRIS | 55,161 | 33,890 | 89,051 | 36,168 | 36,501 | 72,669 | 161,720 |
| WALLER | 1,170 | 981 | 2,151 | 1,364 | 1,230 | 2,594 | 4,745 |
| WASHINGTON | 1,509 | 695 | 2,204 | 2,283 | 1,164 | 3,447 | 5,651 |
- AUSTIN3,985 totalMCLAUGHLINEarly 759 · E-day 6621,421ROGERSEarly 1,245 · E-day 1,3192,564
- BRAZORIA28,707 totalMCLAUGHLINEarly 11,531 · E-day 5,63017,161ROGERSEarly 7,191 · E-day 4,35511,546
- CHAMBERS6,112 totalMCLAUGHLINEarly 1,797 · E-day 1,1132,910ROGERSEarly 1,865 · E-day 1,3373,202
- COLORADO3,368 totalMCLAUGHLINEarly 964 · E-day 8351,799ROGERSEarly 785 · E-day 7841,569
- FORT BEND43,212 totalMCLAUGHLINEarly 13,885 · E-day 6,28920,174ROGERSEarly 13,946 · E-day 9,09223,038
- GALVESTON26,729 totalMCLAUGHLINEarly 7,396 · E-day 3,98411,380ROGERSEarly 9,129 · E-day 6,22015,349
- GRIMES4,404 totalMCLAUGHLINEarly 810 · E-day 7531,563ROGERSEarly 1,385 · E-day 1,4562,841
- HARRIS161,720 totalMCLAUGHLINEarly 55,161 · E-day 33,89089,051ROGERSEarly 36,168 · E-day 36,50172,669
- WALLER4,745 totalMCLAUGHLINEarly 1,170 · E-day 9812,151ROGERSEarly 1,364 · E-day 1,2302,594
- WASHINGTON5,651 totalMCLAUGHLINEarly 1,509 · E-day 6952,204ROGERSEarly 2,283 · E-day 1,1643,447