JUSTICE, 14TH COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 4

7
RepublicanFinal Results·288,633 ballots cast
TONYA MCLAUGHLIN
51.9%149,814
STEVE ROGERS
48.1%138,819
Early vote vs Election Day

STEVE ROGERS gained 9.4 percentage points on Election Day.

TONYA MCLAUGHLIN-9.4pp on E-day
Early 94,982 (63.4%)E-day 54,832 (36.6%)
STEVE ROGERS+9.4pp on E-day
Early 75,361 (54.3%)E-day 63,458 (45.7%)
Race totals288,633 ballots
Early 170,343 (59.0%)E-day 118,290 (41.0%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: 43,212 votes · TONYA MCLAUGHLIN 46.7% (20,174) · STEVE ROGERS 53.3% (23,038) · 2,864 net for leaderParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: 5,651 votes · TONYA MCLAUGHLIN 39.0% (2,204) · STEVE ROGERS 61.0% (3,447) · 1,243 net for leaderLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: 4,745 votes · TONYA MCLAUGHLIN 45.3% (2,151) · STEVE ROGERS 54.7% (2,594) · 443 net for leaderMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: 26,729 votes · TONYA MCLAUGHLIN 42.6% (11,380) · STEVE ROGERS 57.4% (15,349) · 3,969 net for leaderHarris: 161,720 votes · TONYA MCLAUGHLIN 55.1% (89,051) · STEVE ROGERS 44.9% (72,669) · 16,382 net for leaderDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: 3,368 votes · TONYA MCLAUGHLIN 53.4% (1,799) · STEVE ROGERS 46.6% (1,569) · 230 net for leaderWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: 4,404 votes · TONYA MCLAUGHLIN 35.5% (1,563) · STEVE ROGERS 64.5% (2,841) · 1,278 net for leaderIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: 6,112 votes · TONYA MCLAUGHLIN 47.6% (2,910) · STEVE ROGERS 52.4% (3,202) · 292 net for leaderHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: 28,707 votes · TONYA MCLAUGHLIN 59.8% (17,161) · STEVE ROGERS 40.2% (11,546) · 5,615 net for leaderThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: 3,985 votes · TONYA MCLAUGHLIN 35.7% (1,421) · STEVE ROGERS 64.3% (2,564) · 1,143 net for leaderHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / max county margin)
Noted (7)
  • Underperform3.5
    GALVESTON
    TONYA MCLAUGHLIN's margin -14.8pp vs statewide +3.8pp
  • Mid-race flip2.6
    HARRIS
    TONYA MCLAUGHLIN led early (60.4%); STEVE ROGERS won E-day (51.9%)
  • Underperform2.5
    GRIMES
    TONYA MCLAUGHLIN's margin -29.0pp vs statewide +3.8pp
  • Underperform2.4
    AUSTIN
    TONYA MCLAUGHLIN's margin -28.7pp vs statewide +3.8pp
  • Underperform2.2
    WASHINGTON
    TONYA MCLAUGHLIN's margin -22.0pp vs statewide +3.8pp
  • Swing outlier1.3
    WASHINGTON
    TONYA MCLAUGHLIN shifted -2.4pp early→E-day vs -10.0pp statewide (2.4σ outlier)
  • Swing outlier1.1
    CHAMBERS
    TONYA MCLAUGHLIN shifted -3.6pp early→E-day vs -10.0pp statewide (2.0σ outlier)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • AUSTIN3,985 total
    MCLAUGHLINEarly 759 · E-day 6621,421
    ROGERSEarly 1,245 · E-day 1,3192,564
  • BRAZORIA28,707 total
    MCLAUGHLINEarly 11,531 · E-day 5,63017,161
    ROGERSEarly 7,191 · E-day 4,35511,546
  • CHAMBERS6,112 total
    MCLAUGHLINEarly 1,797 · E-day 1,1132,910
    ROGERSEarly 1,865 · E-day 1,3373,202
  • COLORADO3,368 total
    MCLAUGHLINEarly 964 · E-day 8351,799
    ROGERSEarly 785 · E-day 7841,569
  • FORT BEND43,212 total
    MCLAUGHLINEarly 13,885 · E-day 6,28920,174
    ROGERSEarly 13,946 · E-day 9,09223,038
  • GALVESTON26,729 total
    MCLAUGHLINEarly 7,396 · E-day 3,98411,380
    ROGERSEarly 9,129 · E-day 6,22015,349
  • GRIMES4,404 total
    MCLAUGHLINEarly 810 · E-day 7531,563
    ROGERSEarly 1,385 · E-day 1,4562,841
  • HARRIS161,720 total
    MCLAUGHLINEarly 55,161 · E-day 33,89089,051
    ROGERSEarly 36,168 · E-day 36,50172,669
  • WALLER4,745 total
    MCLAUGHLINEarly 1,170 · E-day 9812,151
    ROGERSEarly 1,364 · E-day 1,2302,594
  • WASHINGTON5,651 total
    MCLAUGHLINEarly 1,509 · E-day 6952,204
    ROGERSEarly 2,283 · E-day 1,1643,447