LiveRepublican
2026 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY RUNOFF
254/254 counties·Updated 6/3/2026, 5:55:49 AM
1,387,674
Ballots Cast
22
Races
-0.76pp
Statewide E-day shift
U. S. SENATOR
⚠ 22
36.2%501,725
63.8%885,949
Noted (22)
Noted (22)
- Underperform6.6TRAVISKEN PAXTON's margin -5.5pp vs statewide +27.7pp
- Underperform5.3DALLASKEN PAXTON's margin +1.1pp vs statewide +27.7pp
- Swing outlier2.7FORT BENDKEN PAXTON shifted -1.2pp early→E-day vs +2.7pp statewide (2.2σ outlier)
- Landslide1.9HARDINKEN PAXTON won by +60.9pp vs statewide +27.7pp
- Underperform1.7GREGGKEN PAXTON's margin +10.3pp vs statewide +27.7pp
Early vs Election Day
| Candidate | Early % | E-day % | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOHN CORNYN | 37.3%(323,454) | 34.2%(178,271) | -3.10pp |
| KEN PAXTON | 62.7%(543,272) | 65.8%(342,677) | +3.10pp |
1,387,674 voted
35.7%6,157
64.3%11,089
Noted (0)
Nothing noted.
Early vs Election Day
| Candidate | Early % | E-day % | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| TINA COHEN | 36.2%(4,037) | 34.9%(2,120) | -1.30pp |
| ALEXANDER HALE | 63.8%(7,127) | 65.1%(3,962) | +1.30pp |
17,246 voted
31.7%7,245
68.3%15,597
Noted (0)
Nothing noted.
Early vs Election Day
| Candidate | Early % | E-day % | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRISCOE CAIN | 30.7%(4,817) | 33.9%(2,428) | +3.14pp |
| ALEX MEALER | 69.3%(10,857) | 66.1%(4,740) | -3.14pp |
22,842 voted
31.4%3,547
68.6%7,742
Noted (0)
Nothing noted.
Early vs Election Day
| Candidate | Early % | E-day % | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| MANUEL J. BARRAZA | 30.1%(1,945) | 33.2%(1,602) | +3.17pp |
| ADAM BAUMAN | 69.9%(4,524) | 66.8%(3,218) | -3.17pp |
11,289 voted
35.7%17,932
64.3%32,239
Noted (7)
Noted (7)
- Landslide0.8CASTROTOM SELL won by +64.4pp vs statewide +28.5pp
- Underperform0.7COCHRANTOM SELL's margin -7.3pp vs statewide +28.5pp
- Underperform0.7ANDREWSTOM SELL's margin +6.4pp vs statewide +28.5pp
- Landslide0.7PARMERTOM SELL won by +59.8pp vs statewide +28.5pp
- Landslide0.7SWISHERTOM SELL won by +65.4pp vs statewide +28.5pp
Early vs Election Day
| Candidate | Early % | E-day % | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| ABRAHAM ENRIQUEZ | 34.6%(10,689) | 37.6%(7,243) | +3.02pp |
| TOM SELL | 65.4%(20,221) | 62.4%(12,018) | -3.02pp |
50,171 voted
57.5%4,948
42.5%3,660
Noted (0)
Nothing noted.
Early vs Election Day
| Candidate | Early % | E-day % | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| EVERETT JACKSON | 57.4%(3,257) | 57.7%(1,691) | +0.26pp |
| SHOLDON DANIELS | 42.6%(2,418) | 42.3%(1,242) | -0.26pp |
8,608 voted
57.1%5,002
42.9%3,757
Map loads when scrolled into view
8,759 voted
57.6%18,827
42.4%13,837
Map loads when scrolled into view
32,664 voted
41.8%4,714
58.2%6,552
Map loads when scrolled into view
11,266 voted
35.3%17,318
64.8%31,816
Map loads when scrolled into view
49,134 voted
55.2%755,593
44.8%612,171
Map loads when scrolled into view
1,367,764 voted
50.6%663,679
49.4%648,978
Map loads when scrolled into view
1,312,657 voted
58.1%719,224
41.9%518,975
Map loads when scrolled into view
1,238,199 voted
48.0%10,671
52.0%11,786
Map loads when scrolled into view
22,457 voted
31.0%370
69.0%821
Map loads when scrolled into view
1,191 voted
37.0%1,421
63.0%2,387
Map loads when scrolled into view
3,808 voted
67.0%7,334
33.0%3,543
Map loads when scrolled into view
10,877 voted
57.0%120,794
43.0%90,188
Map loads when scrolled into view
210,982 voted
57.0%4,039
43.0%3,106
Map loads when scrolled into view
7,145 voted
59.0%4,596
41.0%3,174
Map loads when scrolled into view
7,770 voted
55.0%3,541
45.0%2,850
Map loads when scrolled into view
6,391 voted
38.0%2,878
62.0%4,608
Map loads when scrolled into view
7,486 voted
Data last updated: June 3, 2026